Features
Harris in Battle, U.S. Election Uncertainty Continues
Published
7 months agoon

Article/Blessing CALD Editorial;Photo/Internet
19 mins audio
The 2024 U.S. presidential election, which seemed to have been written as a duel between former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden, has suddenly been completely rewritten with only three and a half months left before the vote. Biden, who for months believed he was the best candidate to beat Trump on Nov. 5, announced on July 21 that he was withdrawing from the race, and that his vice presidential partner, Kamala Harris, had already clinched the Democratic nomination to take over the election. Now, it seems that the Democrats’ temporary change of command will definitely add more uncertainties to the U.S. election in a hundred days. A change of command before the battle is a rare event for a U.S. president in more than 100 years, and in just over 100 days, it is even rarer. The entire campaign agenda has changed from the original competition between the two presidents, with the addition of age and ability, to a competition between men and women, whites and blacks, and conservatives and liberals, for the acceptance of Americans. It was like the plot of a Hollywood movie, so to speak.
Biden’s withdrawal shakes up the political scene
Since his poor performance in a live television debate with Donald Trump last month, the 81-year-old Biden has faced mounting pressure to withdraw from the race. While Biden’s situation is becoming more and more passive, his rival Trump’s attempted shooting on July 13 has strengthened the confidence of his supporters, making him a strong candidate who will not be surprised by any changes. In the eyes of some, the outcome of the presidential election has already been written. It can be said that Biden’s withdrawal was both expected and unexpected. In announcing his withdrawal from the presidential race, Biden said it was “in the best interest of the Democratic Party and the country” and that he supported the nomination of his deputy, Harris. Biden also said he would remain in office for the final six months of his term. While some have argued that if Biden were to withdraw, he should resign immediately and let Vice President Hershey succeed him, so that he could continue to compete with Trump for the presidency, so far Biden has no intention of resigning, and the focus of the community has shifted to changes in the race, not whether Biden resigns.
Biden’s decision to withdraw from the race has apparently reopened what seemed to be a dominant pattern: Democratic campaign fundraising, which had been sluggish since June 27, came back from the dead with the news that Vice President Harris might take over the race. The campaign raised $46.7 million in just one day, the highest amount ever raised in the 2024 election. Although Harris has not yet been officially named the presumptive new Democratic nominee, it seems logical that Harris, as the current vice president and Biden’s vice presidential partner, would take over the reins of the campaign. She apparently won a lot of support within the Democratic Party in the first hour of Biden’s withdrawal. The Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22 in Chicago. In less than a week, Democratic leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have endorsed Biden, and all potential challengers to Harris have rallied behind her. Harris has shown in this week that she has become the consensus of Democratic leaders, and has removed the hesitancy that was previously associated with Baily’s reelection bid.
The change of command has reunited the Democratic Party, putting weeks of infighting over Biden’s political future behind them, and quickly rallying the most resources behind Harris to defeat Trump with just over 100 days left before Election Day. The Harris campaign has generated so much interest that more than 28,000 new volunteers have signed up since the announcement, a rate more than 100 times the daily average of Biden’s previous campaign, underscoring the enthusiasm for Harris. The past month has proved that the fate of the White House race can change quickly and permanently. Harris has already secured her ticket to the biggest stage in American politics, but now she must prove she can compete.
The future is uncertain
The U.S. ABC News recently released the results of a poll, Vice President Harris’s approval rate rose 8% to 43%, the Republican presidential candidate Trump holding rate fell from 40% to 36%. The poll noted that Harris has an advantage over Trump in terms of how enthusiastic Americans are about Harris as a nominee for the presidential race. 48% of Americans say they would be enthusiastic if Harris were to become the Democratic nominee, while 39% would be enthusiastic about Trump as the Republican nominee. The survey was conducted in English and Spanish among 1,200 adults nationwide and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points. Trump’s team attributed the temporary rise in the polls to the recent media coverage of Harris as the new Democratic nominee, which is likely to continue for a few days or so. However, it has been 10 days since Biden withdrew from the race, and the enthusiasm for Harris has not dropped significantly, suggesting that the Trump team cannot afford to take Harris lightly.
Speaking to campaign workers in Wilmington, Delaware, Harris admitted that the past few weeks have been a “roller coaster”, but expressed confidence in the new campaign team. She then pivoted to the theme of campaigning against Trump over the next 100 days, contrasting her experience as a prosecutor with Trump’s felony convictions and portraying herself as a defender of economic opportunity and abortion rights. At a time of unprecedented turbulence in modern American political history, Kamala Harris is having an unusually good time. Trump’s campaign pollster, Tony Fabrizio, has even called this phenomenon the “Harris honeymoon period” – a combination of positive media coverage and positive energy that has given the Democrat a strong momentum.
As the U.S. presidential election enters its 100-day countdown, the Harris campaign, from the Democratic camp, has been receiving an increasing number of donations in recent days, with the vast majority coming from first-time contributors. The U.S. presidential election has not been a mandatory vote like Australia’s. In the last three elections (2018 and 2022 congressional elections and 2020 presidential election), at most one-third of eligible voters voted, with whites making up the highest percentage. Women, blacks, Latinos and Chinese have consistently voted at lower rates. Harris, on the other hand, is of women, blacks and ethnic minorities (Jamaican and Indian), which makes her and Trump absolutely different from each other in attracting these voters who are traditionally uninterested in elections, and brings different variables to this election. It is widely believed that the race between the two candidates in the U.S. presidential election will be very intense.
However, there is another huge problem for Harris personally, that is, she cannot get rid of the impression that she is Biden’s understudy. Since Harris is running as Biden’s replacement, she will have to align her policies with Biden’s, making it difficult for her to create a fresh and independent image for herself. Coupled with the fact that Harris did not come up with a more appealing policy that demonstrated her independent stance during her tenure as vice president, the outcome of the election will probably still be favorable to Trump. If Harris is elected, she will become the first female president of the United States and the first South Asian president.
Same Country, Different Voters
Australia has mandatory voting, and the influx of immigrants from Asia and other parts of the world over the past three decades has transformed the country into a multicultural nation. It is clear that the traditional support for political alternation between the two major parties, which was based on people’s consideration and choice of two political paths, is no longer the norm. In the past few general elections, only about two-thirds of the electorate voted for the two major parties combined. The two major parties are caught in a dilemma, that is, they are unwilling to risk losing their traditional supporters, and actively reach out to the new multicultural voters to make policy breakthroughs. At the same time, they are unable to devote more resources to winning over ethnic minorities and attracting new immigrants. As a result, independent candidates or a small number of radical political parties have built up space, making it difficult for the winning party to gain an absolute advantage in the legislature.
There is no mandatory voting in the United States, but the election of Hamas seems to have touched a chord in the hearts and minds of those who seem to have a large population in the United States and who have long been apathetic about politics. The large number of first-time donors and volunteers suggests that the mix of voters in this election is likely to be different than in previous ones. And when people’s enthusiasm for political participation is aroused, it doesn’t usually cool off in a short period of time, which means that the United States is about to experience a shift to a different electorate in the same country. For both Democrats and Republicans, this is an agenda that leaders will have to revisit after the election.
The “Two Americas” Debate
With the recent conclusion of the U.S. Republican National Convention, the “Trump-Vance” group on the Republican side of the 2024 U.S. presidential race has been officially named. As the conservative successor to Trump’s MAGA (Make America Great Again) candidate, Vance, who is less than 40 years old and comes out of the Appalachian Mountains, has been pinned with the hope of continuing Trumpism in the post-Trump era. On the Democratic side, Biden has withdrawn from the race and supported the nomination of Vice President Harris, and whichever combination ends up in the race, it represents a very different side of America. This is not only a reflection of the liberal-conservative divide, but also a reflection of racial, religious, cultural, economic, and other differences in identity and direction of the United States.
With the 2024 U.S. presidential election just a hundred days away, the “two Americas” debate is not only the undercurrent of this election, but also the melody of America’s past for more than 200 years, and the competition for a long time to come. On the whole, the difference between conservatives and liberals lies in the relationship between culture and politics. In short, conservatives believe that culture determines the rise and fall of society and the success or failure of politics, while liberals believe that politics can change culture and customs. A “cultural America,” that is, a conservative America that is constantly confronted with the reality of economic and social inequality, believes that the fundamental solution to America’s problems lies in its culture; while a “political America,” that is, a liberal America that never stops realizing the ideals of freedom, equality, democracy, and the rule of law, believes that the solution to America’s dilemma lies in its politics.
As the first black/Indian female presidential candidate in history, the Democratic base, including labor unions, minorities, women’s rights, and young people, quickly took a stand in support of Harris. The Republican Party, which has lost the “old man card,” must also reshape the direction of the race. Somewhat surprisingly, Latinos are the fastest growing segment of eligible voters in the U.S. Historically, this group has traditionally supported the Democrats in presidential elections, but recent polls have shown that more and more Latinos are changing their voting preferences, a trend that poses a huge challenge to Harris, the incumbent vice president who is destined to be the Democratic presidential candidate, and who will have to spend the remaining 100 days fighting against the attraction of Trump’s hard-line border policy to Latinos. She has 100 days left to counter Trump’s appeal to Latinos with his hard-border policies. With just 100 days to go before the U.S. election, Biden’s withdrawal from the race and his full support for Harris, who has been temporarily thrust into the front line, versus Trump, whose popularity has skyrocketed as a result of the shootings, there are still countless unknowns about who will win. This election will be a showdown between the old and the new, the traditional and the innovative, the conservative and the liberal, and the future of this beacon of democracy will take a new direction that has never been seen before.
The Way Forward
The biggest fear of those in the Democratic Party who demanded Biden’s withdrawal was that once Biden withdrew from the election, he would not be able to rally the voters. However, the response of the voters in the past ten days or so has allayed their fears. Obviously, there is a new leader in the Democratic Party. What remains to be seen is whether the concern and support aroused by Ms. Ho Kam Lai can be sustained for a longer period of time, and turn into a new wave of impetus. In order to achieve this, Mario FUJITSU has to put in a lot of resources. The huge donations made in the past 10 days or so seem to have provided the ammunition for the Democratic Party to turn around. If Georgette Hogan’s campaign team can grasp this opportunity, I believe that after the Democratic Party convention in mid-August, the electioneering work will see a new atmosphere.
Perhaps then, we will see a clearer picture of the trend.
Trump’s team seems to have no choice but to make more personal attacks on Georgette in the meantime, in the hope of stopping the situation from getting worse. But until now, it seems that this strategy has not worked, and the picture is not yet clear.
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Germany has undergone significant political transformations throughout its history. It was unified as a nation in 1871, followed by a constitutional monarchy from 1871 to 1919. From 1919 to 1933, it experienced the democratic governance of the Weimar Republic, which was later replaced by Hitler’s totalitarian rule from 1933 to 1945. After World War II, from 1945 to 1949, Germany was under the control of the four Allied powers before transitioning to democratic constitutional governance from 1949 to the present day. This history of over a century serves as a testament that democracy is not necessarily straight forward; there is always the possibility of a shift towards dictatorship. Every citizen in a democratic society must cherish and uphold their rights, ensuring that those in power do not inflate their authority without limits.
Today, as Trump has become the President of the United States in less than a month, he has already demonstrated his determination to use his power as the leader of the world’s most powerful nation to reshape the global order. Every country is directly or indirectly affected by the policies he implements under the slogan “Make America Great Again.” For Australia, the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on global steel imports—while considering exemptions for Australia due to their special relationship—has influenced the Australian government’s response to America’s dominating stance and its treatment of other nations and their people.
Without consulting the will of the Palestinian people, the United States plans to rebuild the war-ravaged Gaza Strip while barring Palestinians from returning—an act that clearly constitutes a policy of ethnic cleansing. However, Prime Minister Albanese has merely reiterated Australia’s continued support for the United Nations’ long-standing two-state solution, without explicitly opposing Donald Trump’s unilateral decision to strip millions of people of their right to live on this land. This kind of unprincipled “political pragmatism” is deeply disheartening. In essence, it is no different from the “appeasement policy” implemented by British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain before World War II.
At the time when the democratic Weimar Republic in Germany elected a totalitarian leader like Hitler, the world’s tolerance of authoritarian rulers ultimately led to World War II. Today, Donald Trump, backed by popular support for his vision to “revive America,” has made bold proposals, such as reclaiming control of the Panama Canal, openly yelling to force on the purchase of resource-rich yet sparsely populated strategic territories like Greenland, and even suggesting that Canada should become the 51st state of the United States. Furthermore, he views the war-torn Gaza Strip, far away in Palestine, as land for American-led redevelopment—considering it a necessary step to achieve “America First.”. Such actions not only fuel the fanaticism of nationalists but also pose a direct threat to global peace.
As a mediocre nation in the Pacific, it is indeed soul-searching on how should Australia navigate China’s rise, America’s assertive dominance, and the growing ambitions of other nations? While we lack the ability to change the course of global events, our ability to reduce direct conflicts between nations—and avoid being drawn into them—depends on the vision and ability of our political leaders.
With the upcoming federal election, will the leaders we choose offer us hope? One can only pray that God will raise the right leaders for Australia.
Mr. Raymond Chow, Publisher of Sameway Magazine

Lunar New Year Celebration
Melbourne’s Lunar New Year celebrations this year were a blast, with a multicultural Lunar New Year Fair organized by the Springvale Asian Business Association (SABA) on Australia Day, January 26th in Springvale. This year, I was unable to attend and set up a booth as the Sameway Magazine was celebrating its 20th anniversary on the same day in Box Hill Community Arts Centre. On Saturday, February 1, there was a community celebration with politicians at Box Hill, and on Sunday, February 2, I went to Chinatown to participate in the traditional Lion and Dragon Dance in the city center for the tourists. There were lion dance teams from various organizations performing to the traders in Chinatown to wish them good luck for the new year. On February 9, there was a Lunar New Year and Lantern Festival celebration at Glen Waverley. The Sameway Magazine also had two booths offering riddles games, calligraphy, a roulette wheel raffle, and an exhibition on organ donation, which attracted a lot of people to look around. The event was sponsored by the Oriental Merchants which sponsored a lot of gifts. After this day, all the New Year celebrations were completed and we could stop for a while to take a break.
As in the past, all the celebrations at Springvale were very unique. During the opening ceremony, the MCs spoke Vietnamese, Cambodian, Mandarin and English, accepting each other’s ethnicity with a folkloric and lively atmosphere, and the food was everywhere, which was extremely enjoyable. This year’s price hike has made it difficult for small businesses to operate, and many downtown Chinatown merchants are looking forward to the Lion and Dragon Dance to drive away the hard times, and revival. There were also a lot of tourists to the city centre, and many nearby landmarks were having activities, so it could be said that Melburnian Chinese all worked together to decorate the beautiful side of Melbourne, so that everyone could enjoy themselves, At Glen Waverley’s celebrations, the weather was the best, not too hot and sunny, but not too many visitors, and there were fewer booths compared to the previous year. Maybe it’s because of the huge number of Lunar New Year events across Melbourne. One of my friends, who is a parliamentary officer for a local MP, told me that her boss, has participated in 12 community events in the past two weeks, so I guess he is feeling a bit overwhelmed.
Box Hill annual Celebration “Hijacked” by Politicians
Yes, the celebration with the largest number of dignitaries in attendance today was the Box Hill Celebration. Due to the construction of the SRL, the event was held in the backstreet near the Box Hill Town Hall, but it was a great opportunity for the MPs to get some exposure. This year is a federal election year, and the area around Box Hill has been transformed from the Chisholm electorate to the Menzies electorate, making it a marginal seat for the two major political parties to fight over. Prime Minister Albanese and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton both attended the event to rally support from the Chinese community. A number of councillors and candidates from the East Metropolitan Melbourne also took the opportunity to show their support for their own parties, including independent councillor Monique Ryan from nearby Kooyong electorate. The Prime Minister lived up to his promise and said in his opening speech that if he won this year’s election, he would spend a total of $150,000 over the next three years to support the ABAW in organizing further celebrations. The Leader of the Opposition, Mr Peter Dutton, also responded immediately that he would be even more generous in allocating $250,000 over the next five years to support the event.
This is what I find most offensive because it is a blatant “bribe” from politicians to the Chinese community. The federal government’s support of the Chinese community’s Lunar New Year celebrations is commendable. But why not put resources into Melbourne’s Chinatown to organize a celebration for the entire Chinese community and tourists, or support Springvale’s for many years of uniting Chinese and Southeast Asian immigrants from different countries to promote community solidarity and social cohesion? The Asian Business Association of Whitehorse (ABAW) in Box Hill organizes this annual event, which has all along been strongly supported by the Whitehorse City Council and sponsored by a number of local big real estate developers and banks, and in recent years, it has even organized a lavish thank-you reception to promote the event, so why should it worry about the lack of funds? Are the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition all suckers for influence? Of course not. In the run-up to the election, the Lunar New Year has become a political event to garner support from the Chinese community.
Bribing the Chinese community?
Federal funding should be approved in accordance with the relevant policies. Funding for Lunar New Year celebrations should be approved by the Minister of Multicultural Affairs, and should be evaluated to find the most appropriate program to support. Over the years, the longest running celebration is in Melbourne’s Chinatown, and the earliest and most widely supported multicultural event in the outlying communities, the Springvale Lunar New Year’s Market, have not received any federal funding. Should the Minister for Multicultural Affairs explain why the Prime Minister has taken it upon himself to offer his support to the Box HIll event? The Leader of the Opposition, Mr. Dutton, probably also needs to explain.
But then again, this is a federal election year, and Melbourne’s Chinese community is a hotbed of competition between the two major political parties, and the Chinese community of Box Hill once in the Chisholm and now in the Menzies electorates, is extremely marginal, so it is no wonder that the two major political parties have come forward to ask for support for the Box Hill annual Lunar New Year Celebration. Such behaviour can be regarded as “election bribery” to the Chinese community.
Responding to the needs of the Chinese community
It is common and acceptable for politicians to offer funds to specific groups of people during general elections, obviously to buy people’s hearts and minds by providing subsidies, but I think it should be done in a proper way. First of all, these funds should be used to meet the real needs of these communities, not as window dressing for some community leaders. In light of the long history of business sponsorships that the ABAW has received in the past, federal funding is just icing on the cake, and does not meet the principle of supporting the real needs of the community.
What are the urgent needs of the Chinese community? Of course, everyone has a different perspective on this issue. In order to buy Chinese votes, the leaders of political parties will naturally recognize these needs as long as they are able to consult with the community and understand the people’s sentiments. If a political party’s funding proposal can address the most urgent needs, it will be most recognized by the Chinese community and will receive the strongest support in the election. Therefore, in order to buy the votes of the Chinese Australian, one should not do it casually, but should show the political wisdom and knowledge of the politicians. To put it simply, one has to find the “right” way to buy votes in order to achieve the goal.
In Victoria, the first person who took the initiative to reach out to the multicultural community was Ted Baillieu, the then leader of the opposition after 2006. Ted Baillieu took the initiative to hold regular press conferences for the multicultural media, requesting the media to reflect the needs of the community to him on a regular basis, and set up a special column in Sameway Magazine to collect the views of the Chinese community on the government. 5% of the government’s publicity budget would be allocated to multicultural media. The Labor Party followed suit and established close ties with the Chinese community, and continues to do so today.
In the 2014 election, Victorian Labor Leader Daniel Andrews proposed a policy of supporting the construction of multicultural elderly care facilities. To date, the Labor government has purchased four parcels of land to build care facilities for the Indian and Chinese communities. Unfortunately, these four sites are still vacant and have not been allocated to the community for construction. Melbourne has more than 40,000 Chinese elders aged over 75, and according to the federal government’s elderly care standards, they need at least 1,500 elderly care beds. Even if the proportion of Chinese elderly in care facilities is not as high as in mainstream society, it is estimated that at least half of them would need 750 beds. With less than 200 Chinese-speaking beds managed by Chinese community, this means that most non-English speaking Chinese elders will end up in English-speaking elderly care facilities, where they will have to live a difficult life without communication with their fellow residents and caregivers. Two sites, which have already been purchased for Chinese-interested elderly care facilities, are projects that the Victorian government desperately needs to develop as quickly as possible. The federal government, which is responsible for senior care policy, has a responsibility to assist the Chinese community in building senior care facilities on these two purchased sites.
If Prime Minister Albanese or Opposition Leader Peter Dutton would commit funds to support the Melbourne Chinese community to build much needed elderly care facilities on these two sites, it would show that they value the Chinese tradition of respecting and caring for the elderly, and would better meet the needs of the aging Chinese immigrant community. I believe that this kind of buying Chinese votes will be recognized and supported by all Chinese people.
Mr. Raymond Chow, Publisher of Sameway Magazine
Features
U.S. Tax Policy Reversals: The Future of Cross-Border E-Commerce is Uncertain
Published
4 weeks agoon
February 17, 2025
U.S. President Donald Trump signed a presidential executive order on February 1 that imposed additional tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada, and China, specifying that small-dollar imports of less than 800 U.S. dollars would also be included in the scope of the tax. The move is believed to target Chinese e-commerce companies such as Temu and Shein, which have taken advantage of the duty-free policy on small-value imports to rapidly expand their share of the U.S. market. The latest news is that Trump has signed another executive order temporarily freezing tariffs on low-cost packages from China so that specific arrangements can be made. The White House did not specify how long the administration plans to delay the tariffs.
Fast Fashion Brand SHEIN Dominates Overseas Markets with Low Prices
Chinese e-commerce is pervasive
Temu has been expanding overseas since September 2020, and ECDB (e-commerce database) figures show an exponential increase in web traffic and app downloads in May 2023 compared to April. Not only Temu, but also Shein, Aliexpress, and JD have taken their domestic competition to the global market, creating a wave of Chinese e-commerce platform shopping around the world. In the midst of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the inflationary impact of the new Covid-19 pandemic in Europe and the United States, low-cost products have become more attractive to European and American consumers, and have even relieved them of their tight wallets.
In the U.S., Temu bills itself as a 2022 Boston-based, Delaware-registered business that ships products directly from manufacturers and suppliers. According to industry analysis, Temu’s primary operator is its Chinese parent company, Pinduoduo, which was founded in Guangdong in 2019. Leveraging Pinduoduo’s experience in grabbing the market with low prices in China, Temu has not only rapidly built up its user base in Europe and the U.S. through extensive advertising and referrals from friends, but has even attracted consumers who boycotted Amazon because they thought it was a monopoly e-commerce company. On the other hand, Shein is a cross-border B2C Internet enterprise focusing on women’s fast fashion, which was founded in October 2008 with the goal of “enjoying the beauty of fashion for everyone”. Shein’s business focuses on women’s fast fashion, and it has entered major markets such as North America, Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia and South America, and directly serves consumers in more than 150 countries around the world, with an APP that covers more than 50 languages globally, and owns 11 private labels. 2020, during the outbreak of the New Crown epidemic, the apparel industry was hit hard, and Zara announced that its revenue had been cut by half in February-April, and it decided to close 1,200 stores. Zara announced that its revenues would be almost halved from February to April and decided to close 1,200 stores. At the same time, Shein’s sales exceeded $40 billion in the first half of 2020, and with a total valuation of more than $15 billion in E-round financing, it has become the apparel brand that is most likely to challenge Zara’s leading position.
One of the secrets of these e-commerce companies’ “pie in the sky” approach to overseas markets is their ability to understand and take advantage of local laws. The costs of cross-border e-commerce include marketing, customer acquisition, cost of goods, and transportation. Currently, Temu and Shein are taking advantage of the Universal Postal Agreement to utilize free parcel post and tariff exemptions to significantly reduce costs. In the U.S., for example, if the value of imported goods is less than $800, duty-free measures apply (the De Minimis rule); the De Minimis rule has been used by Temu, Shein, and other Chinese low-cost e-commerce companies that have been growing rapidly in the U.S. and elsewhere in recent years. These companies deliver goods directly from Chinese factories and warehouses to U.S. consumers through air transportation and other means, realizing non-taxable sales and thus suppressing prices. Compared with U.S. e-commerce companies such as Amazon, which have built warehouses and logistics networks within the U.S., Chinese e-commerce companies have stronger price competitiveness. Trump’s latest tariff policy has changed the status quo.
Building warehouses in the U.S., in addition to increased customs declaration fees and tariffs, but also additional transportation costs, and inventory and management logistics costs, it is clear that operating costs will increase significantly.
Seeking survival in the midst of uncertainty
Trump’s policy is a bit like the wolf coming to the rescue. Today he says he will levy taxes, but tomorrow he says he will not do so for the time being. Just when the media are clamoring that cross-border e-commerce overnight, the U.S. tariff policy has changed again – Trump signed an executive order that will continue to allow low-cost product parcels from China to enter the U.S. tariff-free for the time being. The U.S. will continue to provide “de minimis” tariff exemptions for goods from China until the Department of Commerce “establishes adequate systems to fully and expeditiously process and collect tariff revenues”. This change is a win for Chinese e-commerce platforms such as Temu and Shein, which ship directly to the U.S. and are very popular with cost-conscious shoppers, and a relief for U.S.-based consumers, who face higher costs on retail goods shipped from China.
According to statistics, approximately 4 million small-dollar packages valued at less than $800 are shipped from China to the U.S. every day. While this may not be a “big deal” in the huge volume of U.S.-China economic and trade transactions, the pain of eliminating the small-dollar exemption could easily and quickly be transmitted to the nerve endings of U.S. society, given that most of these packages consist of items that American citizens and businesses need on a daily basis, such as low-priced apparel, toys, and electronics, as well as production necessities such as screws and valves, and so on. Perhaps this immediate impact on people’s livelihoods is the main reason behind the policy’s hasty braking.
Nevertheless, Chinese cross-border e-commerce companies such as Temu and Shein are still trembling in fear of Trump’s unpredictable style of governance. In the future, in the face of unpredictable tariff policy changes, cross-border e-commerce large enterprises will choose to enter local warehouses to reduce tariffs, but a group of cross-border e-commerce ordinary sellers are complaining that because of the lack of ability to large-volume warehousing, it will be even more affected in the future. In particular, if the United States takes the lead, will Europe and Japan follow suit? There is a trend in the European Union to remove the exemption for goods under 150 euros, and Japan has a tax-free policy for parcels under 1,000 yen in value. If the whole world adjusts the tax exemption policy for small parcels, the future days of ordinary cross-border e-commerce sellers in China will definitely not be as good as before. In response to the uncertainty of U.S. trade policy, Shein and Temu have opened distribution centers in the U.S. that allow sellers to ship their goods to the U.S. and store them in local warehouses, from which they are shipped to U.S. consumers. As they have become the largest and most monopolized supply platforms, these changes will of course drive up the price of goods, but in the absence of strong competition, it is believed that these companies are still quite capable of facing new challengers.
Who pays the price?
With the slogan “Shop like a Billionaire”, Temu is using an extremely low pricing strategy that is killing it in overseas markets. Against the backdrop of shipping overseas, Temu sells sneakers for RMB 45, glasses for RMB 13, sunglasses for RMB 8, cell phone holders for RMB 9, drones for RMB 110, and handheld vacuum cleaners for RMB 40, which is an unbelievably low price. In fact, this comes from the plight of China’s foreign trade since 2022: due to the dynamic zero and “de-risking” of China’s foreign trade suffered a super-expected decline, domestic enterprises have a large amount of inventory backlog. This backlog of inventory is better than rotting in warehouses, no matter how low the price is, as long as the payback cycle is fast. This, coupled with high inflationary pressures in Western societies after 2023, has led to a huge increase in consumer demand for cheaper goods. Against this backdrop, Temu has become the world’s second largest e-commerce company after Amazon, and behind its glittering results are dealers who are crying out for help. Shein, the same fast-fashion brand as Temu, also offers ridiculously cheap clothing. In this supply chain, a large number of laborers working in textile factories in Panyu, Guangzhou, are being squeezed – companies are squeezing social justice and the rule of law to keep costs down, and leaving all the costs to suppliers and employees.
The emergence of this phenomenon was very similar to the oppression of workers’ rights by capitalists after the Industrial Revolution. Workers migrated from the countryside to the cities, leaving the land that provided the basic living conditions, and had to rely on their labor to earn a living, without the ability to bargain with the capitalists. Eventually, social instability evolved over a long period of time, resulting in a slight improvement for workers in developed countries through the enactment of labor protection legislation by the government. Cross-border e-commerce like Temu and Shein, where the benefits go to the company and the costs are passed on to the suppliers and workers, is very unlikely to happen in developed countries. However, the same cannot be said for populous countries such as China or India.
Product Quality and Intellectual Property
Consumers may order from these Chinese e-commerce platforms to save money, but product quality is a growing concern in many countries. In addition, counterfeiting is another issue that has been cited as a major market disruptor for low-cost products in China – the protection of anonymity and low thresholds for use on the internet have made e-commerce platforms the best place to sell counterfeits, and Shein’s history of plagiarism is legion, with international brands such as Ralph Lauren, Levi’s, and Zara, as well as Chinese Taobao, being some of the best sellers. Shein has a history of copying everything from international brands such as Ralph Lauren, Levi’s, and Zara to popular clothing on Taobao in China, and has even been accused by the Mexican Ministry of Culture of directly copying the workmanship and patterns of the traditional Mexican embroidery, Huipil. In the face of these lawsuits, Shein seems to be unaffected by the controversy, claiming that the infringing goods were designed independently by the merchants, and that the liability and compensation are borne by the merchants, not by Shein, and that Shein’s huge profits are shared by the entire community.
Personal data becomes a commodity
What’s more, the security of personal data is a matter of great concern. Not many people are aware that when a person makes a purchase on an online platform or uses a service (such as enjoying a TikTok video or one of China’s most popular dramas), the user not only receives the service, but also becomes part of the collective data collected by the platform. These data can be used to analyze various human behaviors, and to know and predict their activities and reactions in other areas. The platforms can also use the feedback to change the services they provide to the users or the products they recommend, thus controlling the users to stay on the platforms. Therefore, if these cross-border e-commerce companies become significant suppliers of shopping to people in other countries, it can be argued that they also become a way for China to influence other countries.
For example, Temu collects more information than is necessary for online shopping, including personal biometrics (such as fingerprints) and other data. The difference between China and the West in terms of data ownership is that the West uses data through accountability systems, but Chinese companies and governments are very vague about how they will use consumer data, and you don’t know how the data you leave behind will be used.
Conclusion
Temu and Shein are two cross-border platforms that have long been under the scrutiny of Western governments due to their “over-success” in penetrating Western societies and their enormous potential to influence society. Plus, they have long been criticized for labor exploitation in their supply chains, prompting investigations into their ethical sourcing practices. Ironically, while countries like Europe and the United States are pointing fingers and blaming China for its human rights situation, their people are consuming and enjoying products produced by forced labor and low wages; especially at a time of rampant inflation, consumers in the Western world will “vote with their feet” and make their own choices whether to boycott or to comply.
Trump’s order to cancel the tariff exemption for small packages today has attracted global attention as to how much it will affect these companies, and whether it will lead to a new direction of development in the globalization of cross-border e-commerce, so let’s wait and see.
Article/Editorial Department Sameway Magazine
Photo/Internet
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