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Australian Exports May Dodge U.S. Tariffs as Albanese Has Yet to Meet Trump

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Australian Senator Jacqui Lambie pointed out that most Australian exports currently face a 10% tariff, and some industries have not yet experienced U.S. tariff increases, likely because Prime Minister Albanese has not yet met with President Trump. Lambie said that if Albanese continues to keep his distance, Australia might temporarily avoid the direct impact of higher tariffs.

Potential tariffs on certain U.S.-targeted products are high: steel, aluminum, and copper could face up to 50%, while automobiles and pharmaceuticals might see increases as high as 250%. Lambie also noted that Defense Minister Richard Marles’ recent U.S. visit achieved no tangible results, failing to advance trade negotiations.

On security and defense, Lambie questioned the progress of the AUKUS submarine agreement. She emphasized that Australia had invested AUD 2 billion but has yet to see actual deliveries, arguing that the agreement has not materially enhanced defense capability. Albanese responded that he expects to meet Trump at an international summit later this year and stressed that diplomatic dialogue with the U.S. continues to maintain communication on trade and security matters.

Experts analyze that delaying a meeting with Trump might temporarily avoid higher tariffs, but long-term solutions still require diplomatic negotiations and bilateral agreements.

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Research Shows Coalition Voter Trust Hits Record Low

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The latest Australian Election Study (AES) results reveal that, for the first time in the 2025 federal election, the Coalition has lost its long-held image as the “better economic manager.” Voters generally perceive the Labor Party as more credible on policies relating to the economy, taxation, housing, and cost of living. The study notes that while the Coalition led Labor by 26 percentage points in 2019, it fell behind by 4 points in 2025—signaling a major shift in its core political assets.

The research, conducted post-election by the Australian National University and Griffith University, surveyed 2,070 voters. Data shows that in nine out of ten policy areas, voters favored Labor, including healthcare, education, and climate change, with the Coalition maintaining an edge only on national security. Although 42% of voters anticipate the economy will worsen over the next year, overall pessimism has declined since 2022, reflecting some confidence in the current government’s economic stability.

On leadership ratings, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton was rated the least popular major-party leader since AES began in 1987, perceived as lacking leadership and motivational qualities—a key factor in the Coalition’s election losses. In contrast, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese enjoys higher approval ratings, but the study notes a long-term decline in voter trust toward major leaders overall, not limited to the opposition.

The report also highlights changes in voter composition—25% of voters indicated they do not identify with any party, a historic high, surpassing the proportion supporting the Liberal Party (24%) for the first time. The study points out that only 21% of millennial voters backed the Coalition in 2025, continuing a trend of younger voters moving away from conservative parties, posing potential challenges for both major parties’ future political landscape.

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Australia’s Emergency Mental Health Crisis Worsens

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New data shows that Australians experiencing mental health crises are spending increasingly longer periods in emergency departments (ED) while waiting for inpatient beds, with some severe cases forced to remain for more than 23 hours. The findings reflect unprecedented pressure on the nation’s emergency and mental health systems. In a report released on the 25th, the Australasian College for Emergency Medicine (ACEM) stated that EDs have been “forced to become the primary entry point” for mental health emergencies, but severe shortages in staffing and beds have pushed waiting times to unsafe levels.

According to the report, nearly 10% of mental health patients now wait more than 23 hours—an increase of around seven hours compared with a decade ago. Between 2016 and 2024, mental health-related ED presentations grew by 11% to more than 310,000, with the sharpest increases seen among First Nations people and those aged over 65. The proportion of high-urgency cases climbed from 63% to nearly 75%. ACEM stressed that mounting pressure is preventing EDs from providing appropriate care.

ACEM president Stephen Gourley warned that without immediate government investment, healthcare quality will worsen. He noted that some patients are left for long periods in brightly lit and noisy emergency areas due to the lack of available beds—conditions he described as “bordering on inhumane.” South Australia, Western Australia and Tasmania were identified as the most affected, with only around 40% of patients receiving care within recommended timeframes.

ACEM is calling on state governments to increase the number of mental health beds and expand community support services, to prevent people from being forced into EDs due to a lack of alternative options. The report highlighted positive results from initiatives such as “Safe Haven Cafes” and collaborative mental-health emergency response models implemented in New South Wales, Western Australia and Victoria, recommending these be rolled out nationwide.

The report comes as federal and state governments engage in tense negotiations over hospital funding. The Productivity Commission recently criticised the national mental health agreement signed three years ago for failing to meet its targets, noting that around 3,000 Australians die by suicide each year, with economic losses exceeding AUD 200 billion.

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More Than 50,000 Queensland Teachers Strike Again

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More than 50,000 public school teachers in Queensland staged a 24-hour statewide strike yesterday (25th) after pay and working-condition negotiations collapsed, marking their second walkout this year. The action forced 109 high schools to postpone or cancel Year 10 and 11 final exams, with some extracurricular activities also affected. Large-scale rallies were held in Brisbane, Townsville, the Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast and Toowoomba.

The strike stemmed from months of unsuccessful enterprise agreement negotiations between the teachers’ union and the state government. The union previously rejected the government’s proposed 8% pay rise over three years, arguing the increase fails to keep pace with inflation and does not address structural issues such as excessive workloads, teacher shortages and high attrition rates. It has insisted that the government must first approve a 3% pay rise for administrative staff before agreeing to enter arbitration.

The state government countered that it has already offered “the best workable proposal” and has agreed to refer the dispute to the Queensland Industrial Relations Commission for arbitration, urging the union to cooperate. Industrial Relations Minister Jarrod Bleijie said the government has shown goodwill, but the union is refusing to allow the deadlock to be resolved through formal mechanisms.

Union president Cresta Richardson criticised Premier David Crisafulli for refusing to engage in direct negotiations, stressing the strike could have been avoided if the government had accepted the basic arbitration requirement.

Queensland Education Minister John-Paul Langbroek said he respects teachers’ right to strike but expressed disappointment over disruption to students, emphasising the government “will not back down,” even if the union launches a third strike before the end of the year. He accused the union of “shifting the goalposts,” making negotiations difficult to progress.

The Department of Education confirmed teachers participating in the strike would not be paid for the day and said affected students and parents have been notified to ensure schools can provide necessary support and minimise the impact on exams and learning.

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