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The Second Trump Era Begins in a Big Way

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On January 20, Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th president of the United States. In his inaugural address, he promised to usher in a new “golden age” for the United States, a speech that was both promising and contradictory, highlighting some of the opportunities and challenges that the new president will face in his second term. A series of executive orders were signed immediately after the inauguration. After Trump’s return to power, he led a team with a detailed implementation strategy and an aggressive agenda. His own rhetoric remains as unpredictable as ever, and may represent a new policy or just a temporary distraction. The second Trump era has truly begun.

Trump lays out his vision for a new ‘golden age’

Trump opened his 30-minute speech with the statement “America’s Golden Age is about to begin,” declaring that the administration’s top priority is to create a “proud, prosperous, and free nation. From political reform, economic policy, national security, foreign strategy to social culture, Trump’s inaugural speech outlined a more radical MAGA vision, emphasizing the “restoration of U.S. sovereignty” and the strengthening of the “authority of the executive”. At the center of the new “Golden Age” vision may be a leaner and tougher government, which not only marks the return of Trump’s MAGA political agenda, but also signals a major shift in the direction of U.S. policy.

Since taking office, Trump has issued a series of executive orders. Overall, the executive orders continue Trump’s previous campaign policy ideas. They dealt with immigration, environmental, and diversity initiatives, and kicked off his presidency with a strong use of power, signaling that he was about to make a dramatic reversal of existing policies. The series of executive actions were designed to roll back many of President Biden’s most important domestic policies, primarily in the areas of climate and immigration, as well as to reintroduce Trump’s agenda, which would kick-start drilling and mining for natural resources and fundamentally upend the U.S.’s global role as a refuge for refugees and immigrants.

It is worth noting that on his first day in office, Trump signed an executive order announcing that the U.S. is once again withdrawing from the Paris Climate Accord, reaffirming the current administration’s “America First” policy. The move will see the largest carbon emitter in history pull out of global efforts to combat climate change for the second time in less than a decade. The Paris Agreement was signed in 2015, in which governments agreed to limit global warming to no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in order to avoid the worst effects of climate change. This decision by the Trump administration will leave the U.S. as one of the few non-signatories to the Paris Agreement in the world, along with countries like Iran, Libya, and Yemen. In addition to withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, Trump has also announced that he is withdrawing again from the WHO, a statement that has significant implications for the organization.

WHO will lose arguably its most important member and by far its largest donor. The U.S. has given $1.284 billion to the WHO between 2022 and 2023, hundreds of millions more than Germany, the second largest donor, and the WHO holds an annual general meeting every five years to discuss the important agenda, member country contributions, and membership applications. Trump has already expressed his displeasure at the fact that the U.S., with a smaller population than China, is responsible for more than twice as much funding. However, more than 80% of WHO’s funding comes from voluntary donations from member countries and charitable organizations. The U.S. is indeed the largest contributor in this area, while China’s contributions are so low that Trump thinks the U.S. is being cheated. It is also true that China and developing countries have often joined forces to promote the WHO’s agenda without taking US interests into account in many of its decisions, which makes assessing the WHO’s “benefits” to the US in terms of “influence” a poor calculation. However, the original purpose of the WHO is to take care of the needs of small countries, is it not the responsibility of big countries to do so? It is only that today China has become a “powerful country”, and has been able to offer all kinds of benefits to the developing countries in the WHO to gain their support, which has led to Trump’s dissatisfaction with the WHO today.

Looking ahead to the next four years, the two withdrawals are likely to be just a prelude, and Trump is likely to withdraw from organizations such as the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UN Relief and Works Agency) and the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), etc. After all, Trump has the experience of the past four years, and his withdrawal from the group will be more targeted. At the same time, the international organizations in which the U.S. has little interest even if it does not withdraw from them for the time being will probably “switch”, i.e., shift their center of gravity to another group, so that the so-called big group will be hollowed out.

 

Opportunity for China’s “rise” to the top

The new U.S. administration has reiterated its intention to build a prosperous economy with “America First”, and the contours of the “New Economics 2.0” have emerged. For Trump’s old rival China, from the time he officially won the election to his inauguration, he has been making intensive use of the previous 3-month transition period to cope with the situation. Since the end of September and the beginning of October last year, China has been launching a series of policies to expand domestic demand and stimulate the economy, as well as allowing the Renminbi to depreciate sharply to stabilize trade and stockpile gold. In addition, China is moving closer to and improving relations with Japan, and is no longer at loggerheads with India and Australia. It is clear that Beijing’s strategy is to get closer to the three members of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue between the US, Japan, India and Australia. But from a strategic perspective, these countries will not suddenly fall into the Chinese camp with the arrival of Donald Trump, and their alliance is unlikely to be weakened.

The newly appointed U.S. Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, even held his first call with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC), in a “direct ball game” on Friday, emphasizing that the U.S. has “serious concerns” about China’s coercive actions against Taiwan, while Wang stressed China’s principled stance on Taiwan and asked the U.S. side to “deal with it with caution”. Obviously, this is the first step in the U.S.-China exchange, where both sides are exploring each other’s bottom line and drawing out each other’s red lines first. The reality is that despite Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s recent trip, which included a visit to the U.S., the situation in the Taiwan Strait has calmed down a bit compared to the past.

As Trump announces plans to withdraw from various international organizations and agreements, China, on the other hand, may gradually position itself as a global leader and seize the opportunity to fill the void left by the United States on the world stage. Trump’s “withdrawal” puts into question the future of global public health responses and climate goals, but also leaves a leadership vacuum that China may try to fill. Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized their continued alliance in a video call hours after Trump’s inauguration. Meanwhile, Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang emphasized China’s commitment to tackling climate change at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Tuesday, saying that “China has always been a staunch supporter of genuine multilateralism”.

China cut import tariffs on hundreds of goods this month as Trump threatened to impose higher tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico, among others. Regardless of the motivation, other countries may be strengthening their ties with China while the US is distancing itself. After all, U.S. isolationism means that other countries will have to choose between alliances with the U.S. or some multi-polar option – which could include the BRICS countries, of which China and Russia are both members. The role of the United States and China in the international community over the next four years is not yet clear.

 

Domestic and Diplomatic Tensions

On his first day in office, Trump signed an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico, had a heated discussion with the Danish Prime Minister about Greenland’s sovereignty, and immediately threatened the President of Colombia over the deportation of illegal immigrants, etc., which shows that the US, along with other countries, will be forced by Trump to pursue a domestic policy that Trump believes is necessary to make the US strong again, and which will inevitably bring about conflicts in the US’s relations with other countries. Trump has also made it clear that he does not take these diplomatic relations seriously, and I believe that this will soon bring about a drastic and rapid change in global political and economic cooperation.

It is safe to say that the world will soon be in a position to reposition itself.

 

Avoiding a full-blown global conflict

As Trump promised during his campaign, if he wins the election, he will not send Americans to fight abroad and will do his utmost to avoid the outbreak of World War III. In the early days of his presidency, Trump has issued a series of executive decrees to overthrow his predecessor on the domestic front, and he has also been vocal on the diplomatic front.

A few days ago, Trump has issued a warning that he will impose high tariffs and further sanctions on Russia if Vladimir Putin does not end the war in Ukraine. He wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social, that by pushing for a resolution to the war he was doing Russia and its president a ‘very big favor’. Trump has previously said he would reach a solution to the issue of a full-scale invasion by Russia in February 2022 within a day. Russia has not yet responded to those comments, but recently senior Russian officials said there was little chance Moscow would deal with the new U.S. administration. Trump has also hinted that he is prepared to join forces with China to end Russia’s war on Ukraine as a way to increase pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin to negotiate a truce. Weeks before Putin’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the two leaders declared that there was no ceiling on Sino-Russian friendship, with China serving as Moscow’s diplomatic and economic lifeline in the wake of sweeping sanctions against Russia imposed by the United States and its allies.

On Israel’s Gaza war, which has been going on for more than a year, Trump described the Gaza Strip as a “demolition site” after Israel’s war with Hamas. He said he was considering proposing a ‘Gaza clean-up plan’, calling on Egypt and Jordan to take in Palestinians from Gaza and allow Palestinians to ‘live a quiet life’ in order to realize peace in the Middle East. But the proposal has been rejected by Hamas, the Palestinian militant organization that controls the Gaza Strip. Israel denies any plans to force Gazans to move, but some far-right members of the Israeli government openly support a mass exodus of Gazans from Palestinian territory. A week ago, a ceasefire agreement was reached, which led to the release of some Israeli hostages by Hamas in exchange for Israel’s release of imprisoned Palestinian prisoners.

As a result of Trump’s isolationist approach, attitudes towards American power and its global role have changed: The United States is no longer seen as a global defender of its values and as a defender of the liberal international order. The fact that Trump did not mention allies or friends in his inaugural speech shows that he still prioritizes domestic affairs. He has made it clear on several occasions that he wants Europe to spend more on defense, and the threat of tariffs adds more uncertainty to the transatlantic relationship, but it could also be an impetus for positive change. Over the next four years, perhaps the United States will join other powers in a multipolar world, each taking responsibility for its own interests and seeking to build new relationships in a more transactional world for long-term peace and development.

 

Editorial Department, Sameway Magazine

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Walking with the Solitary (1): The Lonely People

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Raymond Chow

My New Challenge

Over the past few decades, I’ve written numerous books and articles on a wide variety of topics. However, last October, I decided to write a book entirely different from anything I had done before, titled Solitary but Not Isolated. I chose to publish it through crowdfunding. Readers interested in supporting this book can visit the following webpage to learn more and help make it a reality.

I attended a rooftop school in Hong Kong for primary education (a unique feature of Hong Kong in the 1960s: temporary classrooms built on top of apartment blocks in resettlement areas to accommodate children who had moved into the district). Resources were extremely limited. In sixth grade, the school principal gave me and seven other students the opportunity to post our writings on the bulletin board every two weeks for the whole school to read. This was my first experience of writing for a public audience.

In secondary school at Queen’s College, the school published the annual magazine The Yellow Dragon, the earliest and longest-running secondary school annual in Hong Kong. My writings were never published there, though my photos occasionally appeared in reports of school activities. At university, I volunteered as editor for a scholarly publication by the Science Society called Exploration, but after two or three years it was discontinued as no one wished to continue it.

During university, I studied mathematics, which required little essay writing—mostly problem-solving. After entering the field of education, I wrote numerous articles on Hong Kong education that were published in newspaper columns. Later, through curriculum development and teacher training in Hong Kong, I had the rare opportunity to write and publish mathematics textbooks spanning from Grade 1 to Form 7—something unprecedented in Hong Kong.

After moving to Australia, I served as editor of the Christian publication Living Monthly, and eventually founded Sameway magazine, which continues today. From the first issue, I wrote the opening column Words of Sameway, and over 21 years, I have written a total of 745 pieces—a record of my life.

Yet writing Solitary but Not Isolated is something I never anticipated doing since I first learned about autism decades ago. Publishing this book is closely connected to my work with Sameway. I can only say this is a new challenge given by God, a chance to take Sameway to a new stage.

Those Who Love Solitude

Solitary but Not Isolated tells the story of a person with autism. Based on her experiences, the Happy Hands Organization has developed a bilingual training program to help autistic individuals transition from school to the workplace. Launched this year, the program aims to support others in similar circumstances.

Most people with autism do not actively seek social interactions. When they do engage with strangers, they may appear difficult to connect with or communicate with, often leading to social neglect or isolation. For parents and family, this creates a lifelong burden. Even those who complete secondary or tertiary education, despite having professional knowledge, often cannot fully utilize their abilities at work because of incomplete social understanding and lack of basic communication skills. Consequently, they are frequently relegated to jobs that do not match their abilities or are assigned work requiring minimal interaction.

Western society’s understanding of autism began with the lifestyle demands of modern life, emphasizing early social engagement and learning in school. Families, having fewer children, often pay close attention to each child’s development and have higher expectations. Over the decades, understanding of autism has evolved—from viewing it as a mental illness to recognizing it as a deviation from typical personality development. Yet how society should assist their growth remains uncertain.

Decades ago, Western focus was on “treating” autism. Research into genetic, environmental, or physical causes has made limited progress. Interventions to change solitary behaviors are also limited—for example, providing speech therapy in childhood or occupational therapy for daily living skills offers only partial support. While societal acceptance and support for autistic individuals have greatly increased, parents feel that more is needed when their children enter adult life and the workforce.

In short, those inclined toward solitude still face a gap in having equal opportunities to thrive socially and professionally.

Understanding Society and the World

Many autistic individuals focus intensely on specific interests, with little experience in social relationships or current events. As adults, this often leads others to perceive them as unaware of society, or even “odd.” In workplaces, where collaboration is essential, they may face exclusion. Many end up in solitary work with minimal social interaction.

Among Chinese communities, first- or second-generation immigrants with autism often face compounded challenges due to limited knowledge of society. Parents, unfamiliar with Australian systems, cannot fully guide their children, and these high-ability individuals rarely integrate with society, limiting opportunities to demonstrate their potential.

In 2024, ABC launched The Assembly, a TV interview program where host Leigh Sales trained 15 autistic individuals to conduct interviews and produce the show. Participants significantly increased their understanding of society and the world, and their communication and social skills improved greatly.

Last year, Sameway had the opportunity to train a bilingual autistic new immigrant, successfully helping her become a magazine editor. Meanwhile, the Happy Hands Organization developed a workplace adaptation program for bilingual, high-functioning autistic individuals. Through four to six months of training, this program offers these often-overlooked individuals a chance to adapt and develop in Australia.

Thus, Sameway is not only an information platform supporting immigrant communities but also provides a development space and opportunities for those with special needs. Readers interested can contact our magazine or the Happy Hands Organization for details.

The Loneliness of Immigrants

Many immigrants arrive in Australia as adults. They often lack opportunities to understand society deeply and, due to work and life commitments, rarely have the time to engage fully with their new environment or develop close relationships with Australians. Consequently, most live within Chinese communities with similar backgrounds. Passive personalities or limited social skills often lead to intense feelings of loneliness.

Leaving their original home and social networks creates a sense of marginalization similar to that experienced by some autistic individuals. Many immigrants are willing to understand and engage with their new society but face personal limitations and a lack of proactive governmental support, leaving them unable to integrate fully into Australian life.

Chinese immigrants, in particular, may rely heavily on long-term Chinese social media and information platforms, further isolating them from the broader society. This social isolation significantly affects their participation and engagement in Australian life.

The goal of Sameway is to assist immigrants in integrating into Australia, fostering participation and engagement in society. We hope that with continued support, we can go further and achieve more.

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Walk With the Needy

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During the Christmas and New Year period, “Sameway” relocated though only to a spot less than 100 meters across from their original office. It was a tiring task, but we have finally settled in, allowing us to take a longer break during the holiday.

However, the world still undergoes significant changes. The President of Venezuela has been forcibly taken to New York for trial, while the new leader of Venezuela is willing to govern in line with U.S. interests. The longstanding alliance between Europe and the U.S. has become history in light of the U.S. attempt to purchase Greenland. The “Board of Peace” established by Trump requests that nations place the keeping of global peace in his personal hands, but attendees at the invitation include authoritarian dictators who have initiated wars multiple times. The generation that has grown up advocating for global integration, respect for human rights, and peaceful coexistence is now at a lost and confused. Will the world revert to a chaotic state governed by the law of the jungle, where strong countries dominate weaker ones, or can humanity choose to move forward in civilization by learning mistakes from history? We truly have no sure answer.

However, it is a time where the rise of Trump and the increasing power of global far-right political forces, coupled with the internet and social media replacing traditional media as the main source of information for many people. This has led to a society overwhelmed with information and challenges in distinguishing truth from falsehood, which is equally as frightening as an era where information is blocked, preventing access to necessary knowledge.

In Australia, as a multicultural country, immigrants face significant difficulties in obtaining lifestyle information through mainstream media. I believe that to build Australia as a harmonious and cohesive society, the government must invest substantial resources to assist immigrant communities to establish high-quality and credible multicultural media, and to accelerate the integration of first-generation immigrants into society, allowing them to become a driving force in social development.

In the past year, we have strengthened the current affairs information provided on our website. In the coming year, we will focus on enhancing our information services for the Chinese community through our broadcasts and magazine publications. I hope you can support us in achieving the goal of promoting the development of the Chinese immigrant community.

Starting this year, in line with the REJOICE’s initiative for bilingual new immigrants with autism, I will be writing a brand-new column to explore this topic with the community as they navigate With the NDIS program. I hope this innovative program by the REJOICE will receive your support for promotion and development within the community.

Additionally, after three years of training aimed at encouraging seniors to use social platforms to expand their community engagement, we will take a further step this year by launching training courses to assist seniors in using artificial intelligence. Our goal is to help Chinese seniors in Australia stay up-to-date and enjoy a higher quality of life brought about by AI.

In the new year, let us work together to build a stronger local Chinese community.

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Entering Trump 2.0’s New World

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Since January 20, 2025, when Trump assumed the U.S. presidency once again, domestic issues in America have been frequent and complex, but the world cannot deny that his foreign policy has reshaped the global political landscape, ushering in a new era.

Over the past year, Trump has been extremely proactive in foreign affairs—from Greenland to Venezuela—demonstrating relentless ambition to expand U.S. influence abroad, even amid controversy and the risk of destabilizing other nations.

Prelude to 2025

Let’s briefly review Trump’s major foreign policy actions in 2025.

First, his involvement in the Gaza Strip cannot be overlooked. In February 2025, he publicly stated that the U.S. would play a more active, even leading, role in the region, supporting Israel’s security needs, including strengthening border defense and intelligence sharing. He also attempted to broker ceasefire talks in the U.S.’s name, coordinating Egypt, Qatar, and other countries as intermediaries. By October, Trump personally attended a multilateral meeting in Sharm El-Sheikh, pushing for a ceasefire agreement and reconstruction framework between Israel and Hamas.

While opinions on his approach were divided, with some critics arguing that direct intervention could heighten regional tensions, Trump nonetheless reaffirmed America’s influence and presence in Middle Eastern affairs.

Early in 2025, the Trump administration reviewed all foreign aid and temporarily halted military assistance to Ukraine, using it as leverage to push forward negotiations. By mid-March, following U.S.–Ukraine consultations, military and security support resumed, including air defense systems, drone technology, and financial assistance. The U.S. also advocated international sanctions against Russia, such as high-tech export restrictions and asset freezes. These actions demonstrated Trump’s support for strategic allies and further solidified U.S. influence in Europe.

While these events may seem unrelated, they set the stage for early 2026’s diplomatic developments.

The Venezuela Raid

Trump’s most notable action in January 2026 was the sudden capture (or abduction) of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife.

In fact, as early as December 1, 2025, Trump had called Maduro, demanding he step down. When Maduro refused, Trump publicly ramped up pressure in mid-to-late December, applying economic and military pressure—including blockades, intercepting suspicious ships, and bolstering military deployments—to isolate the Maduro government. He even hinted that further U.S. action might follow if Maduro continued to resist, signaling a preemptive warning.

The result: U.S. forces launched a large-scale operation codenamed “Absolute Determination”, storming Caracas, capturing Maduro and his wife, and transporting them to New York for trial. The justification cited Maduro and his inner circle’s involvement in drug trafficking and terrorism, including conspiracies to smuggle cocaine into the U.S. At the same time, Maduro’s government had close ties with China and Russia, who provided military and economic support, posing a threat to U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere.

The operation was also seen as a move to block rival powers from gaining leverage in Venezuela. More importantly, given Venezuela’s vast oil reserves, Trump clearly aimed to reassert U.S. dominance in the hemisphere and secure economic benefits. For many Americans, the raid showcased U.S. military might, boosting Trump’s prestige and approval. True to form, Trump paid little attention to criticism, focusing instead on praise, and was visibly self-satisfied.

International reactions were strong. China and Russia immediately condemned the U.S. action, calling it a severe violation of Venezuelan sovereignty and international law. Iran and other nations with tense U.S. relations also criticized the operation as unilateralism under the guise of anti-drug and anti-terrorism efforts, destabilizing the region.

European responses were mixed. Some EU countries long critical of Maduro still expressed reservations about the U.S. bypassing international authorization for direct military action, emphasizing that even dealing with authoritarian regimes should follow international mechanisms. This tension revealed the strain Trump’s style places on traditional allies.

In Latin America, reactions were split: anti-Maduro governments and Venezuelan opposition privately supported the move as a chance to break political deadlock, while others feared overt U.S. military intervention might revive Cold War-era “Monroe Doctrine” fears, worsening regional security.

Currently, former Vice President Rodríguez serves as interim president of Venezuela, cooperating with the U.S. while maintaining loyalty to the domestic ruling class, keeping the country relatively stable. For Trump, the goal of preventing other powers from gaining influence in the Americas and securing economic gains was achieved. Many Americans saw the raid as a demonstration of military strength, reinforcing Trump’s image as a decisive leader.

Trump’s Greenland Gambit

Since 2025, Trump has repeatedly brought Greenland into the spotlight, making it one of the most challenging and controversial topics of his second term.

Greenland, the world’s largest island, is under Danish sovereignty but enjoys local autonomy. Its location between North America and Europe along the Arctic shipping route has made it strategically valuable. Previously overlooked due to extreme cold, climate change and melting ice have expanded Arctic navigation, increasing Greenland’s military and technological importance. The island also contains vast deposits of rare earth and critical minerals, essential for modern technology and defense systems.

Trump’s assertive approach clearly aimed to maximize U.S. influence over Greenland. In 2025, he publicly expressed interest in buying Greenland and urged negotiations to secure it, even hinting at military options. This escalated tensions with Denmark and Europe.

European reactions were unanimous: Greenlandic leaders stated the island is “not for sale”, and massive protests erupted in Greenland and Denmark. The UK prime minister warned Trump that high tariffs or aggression would be a grave mistake, while EU countries—including Denmark, France, Germany, and the UK—supported Danish sovereignty. Even European far-right parties, traditionally aligned with Trump, criticized his Greenland strategy as overt aggression, causing internal rifts.

At the 2026 Davos World Economic Forum, Trump and NATO Secretary-General Rutte reached a “preliminary framework” focusing on Arctic security cooperation rather than territorial control. Trump framed it as safeguarding U.S. military bases and economic interests, while Denmark retained final authority. However, Greenland’s government stressed it was not fully involved in negotiations, highlighting an ongoing tension. Analysts debate whether this is a tactical retreat or pragmatic compromise.

Even with the temporary easing of tensions, U.S.–Europe trust has been strained, showing how far-reaching Trump’s assertive diplomacy has become.

Iran Unrest and U.S. Pressure

From late December 2025, Iran experienced nationwide protests, initially triggered by economic collapse, currency devaluation, and skyrocketing living costs, evolving into broad dissatisfaction with the regime. The government’s harsh crackdown led to casualties and arrests on a scale unseen since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

The U.S., which maintains heavy sanctions against Iran citing terrorism sponsorship and nuclear/military threats, seized this moment to intervene. Trump publicly announced deploying a fleet—including aircraft carriers and missile destroyers—to the Persian Gulf to deter further escalation. He emphasized a preference for avoiding force but warned of potential military action if the regime continued violent repression.

Trump also communicated with Iranian protesters via public statements and social media, encouraging demonstrations and denouncing government violence. He canceled all official diplomatic talks until Tehran ceased the crackdown. While some protesters hoped for U.S. support, the absence of direct action led to frustration and feelings of abandonment.

Iranian Revolutionary Guard leaders warned that any U.S. strike would be considered a full-scale war. Protests and anti-U.S. imagery reflected strong resistance. Intelligence reports indicating a temporary halt in state violence led Trump to consider pausing military actions while closely monitoring the situation, balancing threats with cautious observation.

Trump’s strategy combined military presence and public warnings to pressure Tehran, deter large-scale killings, and strengthen U.S. influence in the Middle East. Yet this high-risk approach also raised the possibility of miscalculations, where tensions could escalate unintentionally, making the U.S. a target for criticism and resistance.

The “Board of Peace”

Traditionally, the U.S. has been seen as the global big brother. But with China’s growing influence and global economic support programs, U.S. presidents often feel impatient with Beijing’s increasing UN sway. Trump, ambitious and assertive, sought to take matters further.

At the 2026 Davos Forum, he launched the “Board of Peace”, initially proposed to address Gaza peace but now expanded to serve as a broader global conflict mediation mechanism. The initiative leverages U.S. influence to create an alternative diplomatic platform and invites multiple countries to participate.

However, critics question whether it is more for show than genuine peacekeeping. The EU’s concern lies less with the stated goals and more with the lack of clarity: the legal status, decision-making process, funding, and international law accountability remain unspecified. Unlike multilateral bodies like the UN or OSCE, this U.S.-backed, president-driven mechanism risks becoming a coercive tool rather than a genuine mediator.

The EU fears it could undermine Europe’s long-standing role in Middle East diplomacy, forcing it from rule-maker to follower. China was excluded, reflecting Trump’s view of Beijing as a competitor, not a partner. The Board aims to present participation as a political statement, effectively creating a U.S.-led bloc in global conflict mediation.

For Australia, the Board is a hot potato. Prime Minister Albanese received an invitation but has not confirmed participation. Several NATO and EU countries have declined, while Canada was disinvited over disagreements on China policy. Thirty-plus leaders who accepted include war actors like Putin and Israel’s Netanyahu. How they could effectively promote peace remains questionable, and handling the invitation diplomatically will test Albanese’s political skill.

Trump’s Diplomatic Logic

Across Gaza, Ukraine, Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and the Board of Peace, Trump’s strategy is consistent: proactive engagement, pressure, disruption of norms, and forcing allies and adversaries to recalculate. He eschews slow multilateral negotiations in favor of military, economic, and media leverage, coupled with highly personalized decision-making, shifting power quickly at the negotiating table.

To Trump, diplomacy is a continuous game of strategy, not merely maintaining order. He pushes situations to the edge, then retreats strategically to gain advantage. While controversial and eroding trust among allies, it successfully recenters U.S. influence.

Crucially, Trump applies pressure not only to adversaries but to allies, forcing them to demonstrate loyalty or strategic value. This increases U.S. bargaining leverage but consumes trust capital, making international relations more transactional and short-term, and setting the stage for future friction.

Costs and Risks of Assertive Diplomacy

Reliance on pressure and uncertainty may yield short-term results but risks long-term instability. Highly personalized, low-institutional approaches erode trust in rules, procedures, and multilateral cooperation. Misjudgments are more likely in opaque, high-stakes situations. Allies and adversaries may misread threats, escalating conflict even without provocation.

Trump is reshaping U.S. diplomacy from guardian of order to rewriter of order, providing tactical flexibility but weakening institutional credibility. Whether the U.S. can balance assertive pressure with sustained trust will determine its long-term global leadership.

Ultimately, Trump’s strategy may open new strategic space for the U.S. or provoke deeper backlash and confrontation. One thing is certain: the international stage in 2026 is no longer the old world, and Trump is the key variable driving this structural transformation.

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