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Australia Housing Affordability Falls to Historic Lows

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A new housing affordability report from property analytics firm Cotality shows that since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, Australian home prices have risen by 47.3 percent, with an average increase of around AUD 280,000. The report notes that in most capital cities, it now takes over a decade to save a standard 20 percent deposit, pushing housing affordability to historic lows.

Sydney remains the most expensive city, requiring an average of 16.7 years to save for a deposit. Other cities also require more than ten years: Adelaide (13.1 years), Brisbane (12.9 years), Melbourne (11.2 years), Perth (10.8 years), and Hobart (10.6 years). The most affordable cities are Darwin (6.8 years) and Canberra (9.5 years).

The report indicates that three key national indicators reached record highs this year: the price-to-income ratio, the number of years required to save a deposit, and the share of income needed for rent. In October, home prices rose 1.1 percent compared to September, marking the fastest monthly increase in more than two years. Housing costs have risen far faster than income, with the median house price now 8.9 times the average income, up from 6.6 times five years ago.

For renters, households now need a record 33.4 percent of their income to cover rent. Affordability in regional areas has declined, narrowing the gap with capital cities.

The report forecasts that in 2026, home prices in capital cities will rise between 6 and 10 percent, with Perth, Brisbane, and Adelaide expected to see the largest increases, while Sydney and Melbourne are likely to experience more modest growth. Although interest rates may remain stable in the short term, the report warns that challenges to housing affordability are expected to persist.

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Victorian Government Issues Historic Apology to Indigenous Peoples

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The Victorian Government today delivered a historic apology to the state’s Indigenous peoples during a special parliamentary session, marking one of the first public actions following the formal signing and legislative enactment of the state-level treaty agreement last month.

The apology forms a central component of the treaty negotiations, aiming to acknowledge the systemic injustices inflicted on Indigenous communities by the state government through laws, policies, and institutional practices, including violence, land dispossession, exclusion, and discrimination. The First Peoples’ Assembly of Victoria emphasized that the government must confront “the profound harms caused by colonialism and the state government, both past and present,” describing the moment as a significant step toward rebuilding relationships.

The treaty agreement notes that the apology is not intended to assign blame but to recognize the ongoing effects of historical injustices and to choose a path forward. The agreement, shaped through nearly a decade of consultation, positions Victoria at the forefront of national treaty and truth-seeking initiatives. The apology also implements recommendations from the Yoorrook Justice Commission, which, during its four-year truth investigation, received formal apologies from more than ten state officials and ministers.

However, the move has not secured cross-party support. The Victorian opposition criticized the inclusion of treaty language in the apology and reiterated that it would repeal the relevant legislation if in government. Opposition leader Jess Wilson, in a letter to the Premier, stressed that the disagreement lies in the policy methods for closing the gap rather than the goal itself, and expressed a willingness to seek mutually acceptable wording to gain bipartisan support.

Commentary:

Victoria’s historic apology represents not only a key component of the treaty agreement but also a pivotal moment for Indigenous justice and reconciliation in Australia. For Indigenous communities, the apology cannot erase historical pain, but it symbolizes the government’s willingness to assume responsibility, acknowledge systemic trauma, and lay the groundwork for rebuilding relationships—a necessary and long-overdue step for groups who have endured over two centuries of colonial oppression.

However, the opposition’s insistence on removing treaty references from the text highlights a deeper resistance to the treaty framework itself, rather than a mere dispute over wording. While the opposition frames the disagreement as one of policy approach rather than intent, this stance may impose significant political pressure on the future reconciliation process, potentially complicating efforts to achieve meaningful bipartisan support for ongoing treaty implementation.

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Australia and U.S. Finalize Expanded U.S. Military Presence and Base Upgrade Plan

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Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Defense Minister Richard Marles attended the annual Australia–U.S. Ministerial (AUSMIN) talks in Washington on Monday, meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to discuss strengthening bilateral defense cooperation following the latest review of the AUKUS agreement. While the U.S. confirmed the review report has been completed, neither side has disclosed its contents.

Marles stated after the meeting that the review focused on “how to make AUKUS work better,” but he refrained from revealing details out of respect for U.S.-led leadership of the review. He also did not confirm whether the U.S. had requested Australia to further increase its defense budget.

AUKUS consists of two main pillars: the first is submarine cooperation, which includes Australia purchasing at least three Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines from the U.S. in the 2030s and subsequently building its own “AUKUS-class” submarines; the second covers advanced military technology collaboration, such as hypersonic weapons, artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and intelligence sharing.

The U.S. Trump administration has recently taken a tougher stance, demanding allies increase defense spending. The White House’s latest national security strategy emphasizes maintaining “a firm expectation for higher defense expenditure” in dealings with Australia. Marles highlighted that Australia has implemented its largest peacetime defense budget increase and that the U.S. is “fully aware” of Australia’s position.

A joint statement following the talks showed that both sides agreed to expand the U.S. military presence in Australia. This includes upgrading air bases in Queensland and the Northern Territory to accommodate more rotating U.S. bombers and fighter jets, increasing reconnaissance and intelligence aircraft deployments, and pre-positioning substantial U.S. military assets, including MV-22 Osprey aircraft used by the Marine Corps. The two countries will also establish an “Oversight and Support Group” to coordinate U.S. troop activities in Australia.

Commentary:

The increased U.S. military presence in Australia raises the country’s strategic profile but also fuels domestic debate over sovereignty and long-term reliance. First, the U.S. expectation for allies to raise defense spending is increasingly explicit. While Australia has significantly boosted its defense budget, the high cost of nuclear submarines and domestic fiscal pressures may make it uncertain whether Australia can continuously meet U.S. expectations.

Second, while expanded deployments and base upgrades enhance Australia’s security in the Indo-Pacific for supporters, critics may question whether the country is moving toward a “quasi-host nation” role, tying its defense policy more closely to Washington’s strategy.

Nonetheless, from a geopolitical perspective, Australia has little leeway to ignore AUKUS. Rising Chinese influence and increasing tensions in the Indo-Pacific make the Australia-U.S. alliance increasingly crucial for Canberra.

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7.5-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes Off Northeastern Coast of Japan

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A 7.5-magnitude earthquake struck off the northeastern coast of Japan late Monday night local time, prompting the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) to issue a tsunami warning for parts of Hokkaido, Aomori, and Iwate prefectures and order approximately 90,000 residents to evacuate. The quake occurred at 11:15 p.m., with its epicenter about 80 kilometers offshore of Aomori Prefecture at a depth of 54 kilometers.

The JMA initially predicted a tsunami height of up to three meters, while multiple ports recorded waves between 20 and 70 centimeters. By early Tuesday morning, the warning was downgraded to an advisory, indicating reduced wave heights and lower flooding risk. In Hachinohe City, Aomori, the quake registered a “strong 6” on Japan’s seismic intensity scale—strong enough to make standing or walking impossible, requiring residents to crawl to move.

As of 2 a.m., Japan’s public broadcaster NHK reported no major structural damage, with only several people in Hachinohe hospitalized for injuries. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi confirmed at least seven people had been injured. Multiple nuclear power plants, including Tomari (Hokkaido), Higashidori (Aomori), Onagawa (Miyagi), and Fukushima Daiichi, reported no abnormalities.

Japan, located along the “Ring of Fire,” is among the world’s most seismically active countries, with roughly 20% of magnitude-6 or higher quakes occurring there. The Tohoku region previously experienced one of modern history’s deadliest disasters in March 2011, when a 9.0-magnitude quake and resulting tsunami killed nearly 20,000 people.

Commentary:

Japan’s frequent exposure to earthquakes has led to a highly developed disaster-prevention system, considered a global model. In this latest quake, the rapid tsunami warnings, immediate evacuations, and quick nuclear safety inspections reflect Japan’s preparedness in systems, infrastructure, and public awareness.

Other countries can learn from Japan’s three key disaster-prevention practices: first, a rapid and precise alert system that uses TV, mobile phones, and radio to issue warnings before shaking reaches the area; second, institutionalized evacuation procedures, with schools, businesses, and communities conducting regular drills to ensure residents know escape routes and evacuate promptly; third, reinforced buildings and infrastructure, including earthquake-resistant structures and automatic shutdown systems at nuclear plants. While disasters cannot be prevented, thorough preparation can significantly reduce harm.

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