
As the US and Iran prepare to sign the ceasefire agreement in Switzerland, this conflict remains inextricably linked to the severe geopolitical upheavals in the Middle East in recent years.
Since the terrorist group Hamas attacked Israel in October 2023, the situation in the Middle East has fallen into prolonged instability, with Israel adopting a hardline “mowing the lawn” strategy against the Shiite “Axis of Resistance.” In June 2025, the US and Israel launched a 12-day intensive airstrike campaign against nuclear facilities and air defense systems inside Iran. Although a brief ceasefire was achieved at the time, Iran did not stop rebuilding its ballistic missile stockpiles, and diplomatic negotiations collapsed in February 2026.
On February 28, 2026, facing threats from Iran’s nuclear progress and a massive influx of missiles, Israel, with the support of the US Trump administration, launched a larger-scale de-militarization air and sea raid. The first wave of actions successfully struck multiple core government facilities and military bases in Iran, resulting in the deaths of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei and dozens of high-ranking generals. Subsequently, Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba, took over and launched a full-scale counterattack against the US and Israel.
During the fiercest fighting in March, Iran fired thousands of precision missiles at Israel, regional US military bases, and countries like the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, damaging multiple infrastructure sites. In retaliation, Iran announced the closure of the global oil lifeline, the Strait of Hormuz. The US military responded in April by implementing a maritime counter-blockade, causing shipping to ground to a near-total halt and global energy prices to skyrocket.
Through the mediation of countries like Pakistan, the parties reached a preliminary ceasefire on April 8. Following months of secret technical negotiations, the US and Iran finally reached a consensus under the conditions that the US Navy would lift its blockade, Iran would promise to unconditionally reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and a 60-day window for nuclear talks would begin. Although the flames of war have temporarily subsided, Israel expressed strong dissatisfaction with the unilateral concessions made by the US, with right-wing forces openly criticizing the White House, signaling a rift in the US-Israel alliance. Hardliners inside Iran have also launched fierce protests against Tehran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs over the “concessions,” opposing the unconditional reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.