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Trump’s “Gaza 20-Point Plan”: Real Peace or Political Performance?

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The Middle East has seen a dramatic turn of events in recent days. Hamas has made a rare gesture of goodwill, and Israel has, for the first time, issued an apology to Qatar. These unexpected signs of reconciliation amid the chaos have brought a faint glimmer of hope to the nearly two-year-long Gaza war. At the center of this shift lies U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced “Gaza 20-Point Peace Plan.”

The Gaza 20-Point Peace Plan

On September 29, Trump officially unveiled his 20-point plan aimed at achieving a comprehensive ceasefire, securing the release of hostages, and establishing a new political and security framework for Gaza’s future governance.

The plan’s core measures include:

  • An immediate ceasefire.

  • The release of all hostages and the return of bodies within 72 hours.

  • A phased withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza.

  • The disarmament of Hamas and the relocation of its armed members outside the territory.

Beyond security arrangements, the plan also introduces a U.S.-led blueprint for Gaza’s reconstruction. All humanitarian aid would enter Gaza under the supervision of the United Nations and the Red Cross, focusing on rebuilding infrastructure, healthcare, and public services. Tunnels, weapons factories, and terrorist facilities would be dismantled and destroyed under international monitoring to ensure complete demilitarization.

A “multinational stabilization force” composed of the U.S. and several Arab nations would be deployed to maintain order, manage border control, and train Palestinian police units to ensure that Gaza no longer poses a security threat.

For governance, Gaza would be managed by a “technocratic Palestinian Transitional Council” overseen by a newly formed “Peace Council” chaired by Trump himself. Members would include international political figures such as former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, tasked with coordinating reconstruction and governance.

Initial Responses from Both Sides

Following the plan’s announcement, intense diplomatic activity began. On October 3, Trump declared that Israel had agreed to establish an initial 1.5 to 3.5 km “withdrawal line” inside Palestinian territory. However, he emphasized that most Israeli troops would remain in Gaza until Hamas was fully disarmed.

That same night, Hamas released a statement expressing willingness to release all Israeli hostages and the remains of those killed, signaling readiness to enter negotiations “through mediating nations.” In an unexpected move, Hamas also indicated openness to handing over Gaza’s governance to a “technocratic government based on Palestinian national consensus, supported by Arab and Islamic countries.”

Still, Hamas has not explicitly accepted Israel’s key conditions, especially regarding disarmament and its exclusion from Gaza’s future administration. Its statement also avoided commenting on Trump’s clause barring Hamas from any role in governance, instead reiterating that Israel must halt all military operations and withdraw completely.

Senior Hamas official Moussa Abu Marzouk told reporters that they had “accepted all major elements of the U.S. proposal but that every item requires further discussion.” He added that disarmament could only be considered “after the end of the occupation and once Palestinians can govern themselves.” This suggests that while the ceasefire appears possible, fundamental disputes remain unresolved.

Currently, Israeli and Hamas delegations are meeting in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, for a new round of ceasefire talks. As of October 8 (Australian time), discussions have focused on Israel’s withdrawal map and prisoner exchange mechanisms. Hamas insists that hostage releases must be directly tied to Israel’s full withdrawal timetable, and that any ceasefire agreement must come with genuine guarantees from the U.S. and regional powers.

To accelerate talks, Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to arrive in Egypt on Wednesday, joined by Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed Al Thani and Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin.

From Diplomatic Isolation to Seeking an “Exit Strategy”

The Gaza war, which began on October 7, 2023, when Hamas attacked southern Israel, has dragged on for nearly two years, becoming one of the most devastating and protracted conflicts in recent history. Israeli retaliatory strikes have caused unprecedented destruction and a humanitarian catastrophe. According to Gaza’s Health Ministry, over 60,000 Palestinians have been killed, and essential infrastructure — hospitals, electricity, and water systems — has nearly collapsed.

While Israel claims to have severely weakened Hamas’s military capabilities, it has failed to secure a decisive victory. The prolonged war has reached the point of diminishing returns — the higher the military and political cost, the fewer tangible results. Mounting casualties and domestic unrest have eroded both Israeli morale and international sympathy. Several Western nations, including the U.K., Canada, and Australia, have now recognized the State of Palestine or condemned Israel for violating international humanitarian law. Even Washington — Israel’s closest ally — is facing growing diplomatic and political strain.

Tensions escalated further when Israel mistakenly fired a missile into Qatar, a key mediator and home to the largest U.S. base in the Middle East. The strike, which killed several civilians including the son of Hamas negotiator Khalil al-Hayya, drew sharp backlash from Doha and Washington. With global support waning and isolation deepening, Israel is under immense pressure to find an “off-ramp” — and Trump’s “20-point plan” may offer exactly that.

Netanyahu’s Political Dilemma

Domestically, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces unprecedented pressure. Anti-war protests have erupted across Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, demanding a ceasefire, the release of hostages, and accountability for the military’s actions. Polls show that over 60% of Israelis disapprove of Netanyahu’s wartime leadership.

His coalition — a fragile alliance of right-wing and ultra-religious factions — is deeply divided. The far-right demands continued military occupation of Gaza and rejects any negotiations, while moderates and senior defense officials advocate a temporary truce to prioritize hostage releases and postwar reconstruction talks. This internal split has left Netanyahu politically vulnerable: continuing the war could collapse his coalition, but agreeing to a ceasefire could brand him a “traitor.”

Last year, a short-lived U.S.-brokered truce collapsed within weeks after both sides accused each other of violations, leading to renewed Israeli operations that killed over 400 Palestinians. The episode exposed the disconnect between Israel’s government and military — a rift that still threatens current negotiations.

Unlike in Western democracies such as Australia, Israel’s military holds significant autonomy within its political system. Even if the government orders a ceasefire, field commanders may continue operations if they believe their missions are incomplete. During the previous truce, Israeli forces continued airstrikes in northern Gaza “to prevent Hamas regrouping,” killing hundreds — a reminder of the deep structural tensions within Israel’s security establishment, where “peace” is often seen as a strategic risk rather than a goal.

While external and internal pressures have pushed Israel to the negotiating table, achieving a lasting ceasefire remains uncertain. Critical questions — postwar reconstruction, Hamas’s political role, the scope of Israeli withdrawal, and Gaza’s future governance — are far from settled. Should talks collapse, the region could again spiral into violence.

Still, Israel’s willingness to engage in staged ceasefire talks under Trump’s framework marks a notable shift — an admission that military force alone cannot deliver security. When war yields only isolation and exhaustion, diplomacy becomes the only means of survival and rehabilitation.

Hamas Under Pressure and Reassessment

Hamas, too, faces mounting pressure. After nearly two years of war, its military and political capacities are in ruins. Gaza’s collapse is total — food, fuel, and medicine are scarce, and 80% of residents lack reliable access to food. Hospitals have shut down, and infectious diseases are spreading through overcrowded refugee camps. Public anger and despair are rising, and the demand to “end the war and return to normal life” grows louder each day.

Since late 2023, Israeli targeted strikes have decimated Hamas’s command structure, killing top figures such as Mohammed Deif and Marwan Issa. Many leaders have fled abroad, leaving local administrators — focused on civilian governance and aid coordination — in charge. These officials, more pragmatic than ideological, now view political survival and reconstruction as the only viable path forward.

Tensions between Hamas’s exiled leadership in Doha and Istanbul and its local Gaza leadership have widened. While exiles cling to hardline rhetoric, local leaders, witnessing the devastation firsthand, are increasingly inclined toward compromise. Regional allies such as Qatar and Turkey are also urging restraint. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has publicly called on Hamas to “show political maturity,” warning that continued fighting will only erode international support.

For Hamas, the war’s continuation means further suffering and loss of legitimacy among Palestinians. Under these conditions, Trump’s Gaza 20-Point Plan — despite its risks — offers a path of political survival and a last chance to avoid total marginalization.

Peace Through Transaction

Whether it’s disarming Hamas, deploying Arab peacekeepers, or placing Gaza under international trusteeship, many of these ideas have surfaced before — only to fail under political realities. Trump’s 20-point plan may seem like a repackaged version of earlier proposals, yet its rapid traction reflects his pragmatic timing and deal-making acumen.

Trump’s approach relies on pressure as leverage. Within months of taking office, his administration froze some military aid to Israel, cracked down on Hamas-linked financial networks, and warned mediating nations like Qatar and Egypt of “isolation” if they failed to cooperate. Though criticized as heavy-handed, these tactics forced all parties back to the negotiating table. Trump’s version of “peace” is not driven by morality, but by calculated pragmatism — making both sides realize that continuing the war costs more than compromise.

His “deal-making diplomacy” mirrors a cold business negotiation: clear terms, tight deadlines, and few emotions. When he announced Israel’s immediate halt to airstrikes last Friday — reportedly without prior notice to Netanyahu’s cabinet — it left Israel with no choice but to comply. Meanwhile, Hamas was told to respond by Sunday or face renewed U.S.-approved Israeli offensives. Trump’s peace, therefore, is less about justice than enforced submission — a harsh but effective pause to the bloodshed.

This recalls the ancient Chinese concept of “Zhao’an” (招安) — pacifying rebels through a mix of power and incentives, offering surrender as survival. Like the heroes of Water Margin accepting imperial amnesty, or warlords in Romance of the Three Kingdoms submitting when the balance of power shifted, both Hamas and Israel now seek self-preservation under Trump’s imposed order.

From a broader geopolitical lens, Trump’s strategy does not resolve the conflict’s root causes. Instead, it forces a temporary strategic pause — stabilizing the battlefield long enough to reshape the negotiation landscape. For Trump, this is both a foreign policy victory and political spectacle. For civilians trapped in Gaza, even a fragile ceasefire offers a precious glimpse of life beyond war.

Whatever the outcome of the 20-point negotiations, the world can only hope that the guns in Gaza will soon fall silent.

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Imaginary Fairground, Turned Into Imaginary Red Line

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Hong Kong singer Hins Cheung was once regarded as one of the few mainstream artists who took a clear stand on political issues. Whether it was supporting Taiwan’s Sunflower Student Movement or participating in Hong Kong’s Umbrella Revolution, his stance over the past decade was far from ambiguous.

However, this singer, who has long established a solid foundation in the Hong Kong music scene, has recently undergone a visible pivot. Not only did he publicly “admit fault” for his past remarks, but he also announced his participation as a mentor in a Hong Kong government “rehabilitation special project” targeting youth involved in the Anti-Extradition Law Amendment Act (ELAA) movement, leading young people on exchange trips to mainland China. This series of sudden moves has raised questions: why would an artist who is no longer dependent on the mainland market and is certainly no novice choose such a definitive shift in stance at this time?

 

Former Stances

Now 45, Hins Cheung was born in Guangzhou but has long centered his career in Hong Kong, where he successfully built a prominent status in the industry. Looking back at his past public words and deeds, it is clear he was not an artist who kept his distance from political topics.

In 2014, when the Sunflower Student Movement erupted in Taiwan against the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement, Cheung posted a black-and-white photo of holding hands on social media with the caption, “Students on the other shore, keep going!”, which was interpreted as support for the movement. In September of the same year, during Hong Kong’s Umbrella Revolution, he joined artists like Anthony Wong to record the protest anthem “Who Has Not Spoken Out?” and was reportedly involved in street demonstrations and hunger strikes.

These expressions caused Cheung’s career in the mainland Chinese market to be blocked multiple times. This included his scheduled participation in the 2017 program Singer, from which he was forced to withdraw—and his recorded segments deleted—due to public pressure and boycotts.

 

A “U-Turn” to Admit Fault?

Last week, the pro-establishment media Wen Wei Po published a full-page interview with Hins Cheung, high-profilely announcing his joining of the Security Bureau’s “Positive Guidance Project” as a mentor. According to his account, he was “deeply moved by the project” and proactively contacted the authorities to participate.

In the interview, he stated he would soon serve as a guest speaker and plans to personally lead participants to mainland China in the first half of the year so that young people can “see the real development of the country with their own eyes.” He described China’s rapid development as a positive influence on youth and called on young people to take the initiative to understand the national situation and strengthen their national identity.

More strikingly, he took the initiative to apologize for his past remarks, attributing his previous stances to “youthful impulsiveness” and being “influenced by the social atmosphere.” He stated that the way he interpreted certain past remarks and works was “inappropriate,” leading to public questioning of his feelings and stance toward the country and Hong Kong, for which he offered a “sincere apology.” He emphasized that with age and experience, he now has a deeper understanding of the “big picture,” feels regret for his past actions, and promised “not to repeat similar mistakes.”

 

External Speculation

Naturally, various speculations have emerged regarding Cheung’s “U-turn.” Some believe this is a typical case of “bowing for one’s career,” choosing a new side under market pressure. Others suggest it may involve financial pressure on his agency, Emperor Entertainment Group, in recent years; under the dual squeeze of debt and market contraction, the company may need to reshape the political image of its artists and corporate identity as a whole to mend ties with the mainland market and return to lucrative opportunities up north.

While these views may have their merits, the true reason is known only to those involved. However, explaining it solely through “interest calculation” seems overly simplistic.

After all, given Cheung’s age, status, and economic foundation, he is not an artist who desperately needs market opportunities to survive. The stances he expressed over the past twenty years should logically be the result of thought rather than a momentary impulse. Can such convictions really be abandoned entirely due to career fluctuations? Or is there a more powerful driving force behind it?

 

Another Wave of Political Maneuvering?

It is noteworthy that after the event gained traction, the response from certain quarters of public opinion was equally telling.

In an opinion piece published by HK01, the author interpreted Cheung’s “apology” as a “trial in social restoration,” arguing that this was not just an artist’s personal choice but a symbolic case of Hong Kong society attempting to heal divisions and guide youth “back to the right path.”

On the surface, this discourse seems to provide a macro-analytical framework, but the identity of the author is worth noting. Besides being a singer, Cheung has ventured into the catering industry, investing in high-end French restaurants. The author of the article, Chan Ka-wa, holds multiple titles including Chairman of the Hong Kong Catering Industry Association and the Hong Kong Mainland Catering Industry Association, as well as a visiting professor at the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce. As a figure in the catering industry, his rapid authorship of a lengthy commentary on a shifting artist—combined with his ties to mainland officials and business circles—makes it hard to believe this is merely a personal opinion. This article feels less like a standard editorial and more like an “explanation” (exegesis) meant to provide a narrative framework for Cheung’s transformation that is understandable, or even acceptable, to the public.

This is, of course, an inference, but it suggests that Cheung’s declaration is more than just entertainment gossip; it carries the weight of a calculated political operation.

 

Why Hins Cheung?

So, why Hins Cheung specifically?

Beyond his influence in the Hong Kong music scene, his family background is a distinct feature. According to public records, his ancestral home is Beijing; his grandfather was a Tsinghua University graduate, his maternal grandfather held a high-ranking military position, and his father served as a Party Secretary. In the Chinese context, such a background is often described as “red to the core” (roots in the revolution).

While family background does not dictate personal stance, some speculate whether there was pressure from the family level or even more direct influence. However, these claims currently lack concrete evidence.

Nevertheless, this incident is just the tip of the iceberg. Using cultural and entertainment figures to shape a certain political atmosphere is nothing new.

 

“Listen to the Party”

In the Chinese political-cultural system, taking a stance is never just an expression of personal opinion—especially in the highly influential fields of performing arts and culture. Practitioners are often seen as having a duty to serve as role models.

To put it more directly: the more influential a person is, the harder it is for them to hold a “purely personal” stance.

This logic did not start today. Historically, whether during eras emphasizing political loyalty or through contemporary, subtle public opinion management, the monitoring and regulation of public figures’ stances have always existed. The difference lies in the form: it has shifted from direct pressure to more imperceptible operations—such as through market mechanisms, social pressure, and policy environments—eventually forming a tacit understanding of “knowing what to do without being told.”

In this environment, an artist’s influence is both an asset and a risk. When influence grows, their stance can no longer be seen as purely personal. To some extent, they have been integrated into a larger narrative. Thus, by applying pressure to make them politically controlled and submissive—making them “listen to the party”—their original voice no longer matters. What is preserved is only the voice that is permitted.

 

The Sorrow of the Artist

Every Lunar New Year, almost all Chinese people hear the song “Gongxi Gongxi.” It sounds lighthearted and festive, but its origin is far heavier than the melody. It was written after the end of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression; its original intent was not just to celebrate the New Year, but to express the sentiment of “bitterness ending and sweetness arriving” after the war. Its creator, Chen Gexin, was a man repeatedly squeezed by his era.

Chen participated in anti-Japanese cultural movements and collaborated with underground Communist Party members to write resistance songs. Later, when Shanghai fell, he worked under the Wang Jingwei regime to survive. After the war, he was arrested as a traitor but was released and fled to Hong Kong. After the founding of the PRC, he chose to return due to his communist background, but was eventually denounced during the Anti-Rightist Movement and died in a labor camp.

From the Anti-Japanese War to the Civil War to the early political movements of the PRC, Chen Gexin spanned a tumultuous era. He tried to survive and create across different times but could never escape the political environment. In other words, no matter how he adjusted, he could not avoid the fate of being purged.

In a way, this is the sorrow of the artist. Creation should be an individual expression, but under certain systems, it often cannot break free from the political framework.

These stories are worth repeating not because they are unique, but because they are so universal. For creators within a power structure, whether they choose to stay close, stay away, or even “not take a stand,” that choice can itself become a stance.

 

Key Opinion Leaders without Opinions

This demand for taking a stand does not stop at the cultural world; it applies to religion as well. Wang Mingdao, a leading figure in China’s independent Christian church in the mid-20th century, was imprisoned for years for refusing to cooperate with official religious policies and insisting on institutional autonomy. Even after briefly yielding under pressure, he chose to publicly retract his concession, resulting in further decades in prison.

The backgrounds of these cases may differ, but the underlying logic is consistent. Whether an artist, a writer, or a religious leader, as long as they possess the ability to influence the public, it is difficult to escape the regulation and expectations placed upon their stance.

Looking at the present, Hins Cheung belongs exactly to this category. He is not just a singer, but a public figure with broad influence—a Key Opinion Leader (KOL). An opinion leader’s words and deeds have a demonstration and diffusion effect; their opinion is never just their own, but something that influences a segment of society.

Consequently, his change in stance is not just a display of personal motivation, but a reflection of a familiar operational logic: the greater the influence, the more one needs to be incorporated into the system. Once incorporated, original autonomy is gradually eroded.

Perhaps what is more worth considering is that while these situations mostly happened in mainland China in the past, a similar logic is now appearing in Hong Kong. When “needing to take a stand” slowly becomes the norm, what truly changes is not just one artist’s position, but the social imagination of “what can and cannot be said.” Spaces that were once taken for granted may be quietly narrowing.

 

The “Soft Resistance” They Fear

Whenever a society enters a period of upheaval, popular culture often becomes the last space that isn’t fully co-opted. People search for an outlet for their emotions in music, film, literature, and even sports. This isn’t just entertainment or comfort; it is a form of identity and collective connection.

Because of this, culture is never a field unrelated to politics. On the contrary, it is often the part that is hardest for politics to control fully, yet the most permeable.

This explains why various local pop culture phenomena in Hong Kong—from the craze surrounding the boy band MIRROR to the support for local films and the Hong Kong football team—are not just entertainment events, but outlets for social sentiment.

These emotional investments are natural, but the problem arises when they become overly dependent on certain public figures, placing personal spiritual hopes on a carrier that is inherently unstable. In other words, by placing too much expectation on certain cultural symbols or artists, we simultaneously push them into a position where they are more easily exploited by political forces.

This also explains why Hong Kong and mainland officials have recently emphasized the so-called “soft resistance.” They know very well that what is truly influential isn’t just political activity or policy, but culture itself. Compared to direct confrontation, these subtle emotional connections and the ideologies they trigger are the hardest forces to control.

And because they are hard to control, they need to be co-opted.

Thus, what we see is not just censorship and restriction, but a set of more delicate operations. First, have artists proactively take a stand; then have works “naturally” align; then gradually narrow the expressive space for theater, film, and literature. When “kneeling” no longer needs to be explicitly demanded but becomes an industry consensus, the frog is boiled in warm water, and culture loses its original edge.

 

A Small Pawn

In this incident, beyond the focus on Hins Cheung’s shift, we cannot ignore the Security Bureau project he is participating in.

The “Positive Guidance Project” claims to provide “rehabilitation opportunities” for young people who “went down the wrong path” during the 2019 anti-extradition protests. Looking back at the 2019 movement, over 7,000 people were arrested, many of whom were never prosecuted. Now, this group may be incorporated into a sort of re-education or guidance mechanism, including organized trips to China to learn about “national development” and “national security.”

This arrangement feels less like providing an opportunity and more like a directional reshaping. Through collective activities, visits, sharing, and role models, it builds a narrative that is deemed acceptable.

In this process, an influential artist like Hins Cheung becomes the most suitable intermediary—possessing fame, having held different past stances, and being popular among the youth. To some extent, Cheung is just a small pawn in this political transformation project, working for the Hong Kong government to “rebrand” the youth. The grander blueprint behind this is what is truly concerning.

 

The Imaginary Red Line

In recent years, Hong Kong media has seen more “rehabilitation stories”—from Tong Ying-kit, the first person convicted under the National Security Law, to Hins Cheung’s confessional-style interview. On the surface, these are personal stories of reform, but in reality, they transmit a set of value judgments: what is right and wrong, and what counts as “returning to the right track.”

It is worth noting that Cheung’s phrasing is not radical. He did not loudly proclaim loyalty or use intense political language. Instead, he emphasized “looking at the big picture,” “being good for the youth,” and “starting anew.” This moderate tone makes the transformation look reasonable, even carrying a hint of moral high ground. But for that very reason, it is more persuasive and harder to question. This is the “sugar-coated pill” strategy—besides traditional harsh laws, there is a hope to use “sugar” to soften the public, using personal stories to wrap and make a new political narrative more acceptable.

Furthermore, when the “red line” does not need to be clearly drawn but is instead internalized through countless case studies, people naturally learn how to self-adjust. Over time, what truly disappears is not just certain remarks, but the very imagination of the freedom to “have different thoughts.”

Finally, to quote the song ” Imaginary Fairground,” written by Wyman Wong and sung by Hins Cheung: “Even if you have no choice in the era you were born into, and the world is pale, it still accommodates thoughts.”

In today’s Hong Kong, are thoughts still accommodated?

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Coalition proposes social media screening; immigration and asylum policies tightened

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Australia’s opposition has put forward a tough new immigration policy which, if the Coalition comes to power, would introduce Trump-style social media screening for all visa applicants, including tourists, alongside broader tightening of immigration and asylum rules. Opposition leader Taylor accused the government of allowing migrants with “subversive intent” into the country and claimed that some migrants represent a “net burden” on Australia.

Taylor said a new “safe country list” would be created to determine which countries are considered safe for return. Asylum claims from these countries would be fast-tracked for rejection. The policy would also reinstate temporary protection visas, which were abolished in 2023.

The proposed measures further include increased enforcement resources to track, arrest and deport non-citizens who have exhausted all legal avenues but remain in the country. Visa holders would also be required to comply with a binding “Australian values statement”, and those who breach principles such as the rule of law, tolerance and equality of opportunity could have their visas cancelled and be deported. Waiting periods for non-citizens to access social welfare would also be extended, while legal aid funding would be reduced.

On security grounds, the policy proposes reviewing more than 2,000 Palestinians granted visas following the October 7, 2023 attacks and the Gaza conflict, despite them having already been cleared by Australian security agencies. Taylor argued that individuals from conflict zones may still pose risks.

Commentary:

Such policies risk labelling certain groups or regions in advance as “risks” or “burdens”, potentially deepening social division and anti-immigrant sentiment. Expanding social media screening also raises concerns about privacy and fundamental rights, effectively requiring applicants to surrender aspects of their private digital lives. When “values” become a selection criterion, questions remain over how these standards are defined, whether they are applied transparently and fairly, or whether they may be influenced by political bias.

More broadly, the policy may also conflict with Australia’s longstanding humanitarian values. Denying entry based on background or expression risks weakening the country’s commitment to protecting those fleeing conflict and hardship, and may deter genuine applicants in need of assistance.

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What are War Crimes?

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Ben Roberts-Smith was once a recipient of the Victoria Cross for Australia, lionized as a hero for his military achievements in Afghanistan. However, the tide turned completely the moment he was arrested at Sydney Airport on Tuesday morning after a flight from Brisbane. He currently stands accused of committing war crimes during his service and could potentially face life imprisonment.

At a time of high tension between the United States and Iran, this major scandal involving a renowned Australian soldier raises a critical question: what exactly are war crimes?

The Fall of Roberts-Smith

Roberts-Smith joined the Australian Army in 1996 at the age of eighteen. From then until his discharge in 2013, he participated in various military operations spanning Iraq, Fiji, and Afghanistan. These honors made him one of Australia’s most highly decorated soldiers, once regarded as a national hero with accolades including the Victoria Cross, the Medal for Gallantry, and the Commendation for Distinguished Service.

However, prior to this year’s trial, Roberts-Smith had been under scrutiny since 2017 regarding reports that he had killed a teenager suspected of spotting his patrol. In 2018, The Age, The Sydney Morning Herald, and The Canberra Times published a series of articles alleging his involvement in war crimes, including the murder of civilians and ordering subordinates to execute captives. These allegations included kicking a handcuffed man off a cliff before ordering a soldier to shoot him, as well as ordering the execution of an elderly man and a disabled man—Roberts-Smith allegedly even permitted other soldiers to use the disabled man’s prosthetic leg as a celebratory drinking vessel. Despite Roberts-Smith’s attempts to sue for defamation, the court found substantial evidence supporting the truth of these claims.

While Roberts-Smith attempted to use the defamation suit to overturn the accusations, his claims were dismissed. The subsequent prosecution and trial will now determine if he will be sentenced to life imprisonment.

The Terrors of War and Related Crimes

It is shocking to many that a national hero from a democratic, civilized country like Australia could commit such atrocities against unarmed civilians. Yet, the reality is that war crimes are not a new occurrence.

The general definition of war crimes involves willful killing, torture, taking hostages, and the intentional targeting of civilians during armed conflicts. Based on the actions described above, Roberts-Smith has regrettably violated several of these rules, such as harming elderly, captive, or disabled civilians, and is thus being judged by the court.

As uncomfortable as it is to admit, nearly every nation—whether communist or capitalist, Eastern or Western—has been linked to war crimes at some point. Some cases, such as the Nanjing Massacre conducted under Lieutenant General Hisao Tani, General Iwane Matsui, and Prince Asaka, are so overt that the perpetrators were historically condemned and punished. However, when nations use excuses like “not targeting settlements directly” or justify bombings by citing the “tyranny” of another nation, we often fail to apply the label of war crimes to similar atrocities.

The Current Political Climate

Today, similar disasters are repeating in the contemporary age. The difference is that nations now employ various tactics to avoid being caught in the direct manner Roberts-Smith was. As most definitions of war crimes were established in the 20th century, they are increasingly failing to keep pace with the evolving excuses used by modern politicians.

For instance, U.S. President Donald Trump, in an effort to force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, not only set deadlines for infrastructure strikes but also threatened to target power plants and bridges nationwide. This “maximum pressure” has resulted in humanitarian disasters, including the interruption of electricity and water. Reports indicate that thousands of civilians have died in airstrikes, including the accidental bombing of non-military targets like schools. Furthermore, long-standing economic sanctions have led to the collapse of the healthcare system, leaving innocent patients and the poor as pawns in a political game. Meanwhile, Trump has repeatedly deflected responsibility, claiming all bombings of innocents were accidental, even as the civilian death toll in Iran continues to rise.

Additionally, Russia’s ongoing military operations in Ukraine have been widely condemned for expanding attacks on population centers and critical infrastructure, separating countless Ukrainians from their families. Similarly, the long-standing conflict between Israel and Palestine—involving the destruction of neighborhoods and the recent passage of a death penalty law—has sparked international concern and anger regarding the actions of the Israeli government and Benjamin Netanyahu, with some labeling them as racist or even genocidal.

Why, then, have these actions not faced the same judicial scrutiny by the United Nations or other governments as crimes committed by individuals? Why does this double standard exist, and why has the definition of war crimes not been updated to ensure governments are held responsible for the bombing of unarmed civilians?

Worst of all, what if one nation eventually monopolizes military power, launching weapons and deploying troops without consequence? Would the laws of war crimes become extinct, leaving innocents permanently in harm’s way? Therefore, we must recognize that if the definition of war crimes fails to evolve alongside modern warfare, we risk entering an era of unchecked aggression where the protection of the innocent becomes a relic of the past.

The “Self” at the Center

Today, the entire globe sits under the shadow of war. Those who initiate conflict—whether it is Putin leading the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Netanyahu enacting the blockade of Gaza to hunt Hamas, or Trump attacking Iran over nuclear disarmament—all believe they have “rational” justifications for war. Yet, in the pursuit of these wars, they fail to consider the fundamental right to life of the people living in those nations. We find that they are much like Roberts-Smith: they commit war crimes unacceptable to the world simply because they focus on their own interests, treating the existence of the “enemy” population as non-existent.

For Putin, the idea of national rejuvenation or state honor blinds him to the large-scale death and suffering of both Russian soldiers and Ukrainians. For Netanyahu, a sense of national pride and the goal of curbing Hamas terrorism leads to discrimination against Palestinians, resulting in many deaths under unjust conditions. For the Iranian government, the focus is on proving their stance to the U.S., even as their own civilians die regularly and remain isolated from the outside world. As for Trump, the goal is to eliminate the threat of Iranian nuclear weapons and declare his distaste for “tyranny,” even if this is achieved at the expense of the Iranian people.

With great power comes great responsibility—a principle that applies to everyone from military personnel to government leaders. Can those in power exercise their authority properly without killing those they perceive as enemies? Looking at the world today, the answer remains deeply worrying.

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