The latest annual poll released by Australian think tank the Lowy Institute shows that Australians’ trust in the United States has fallen to a historic low, with only 31% of respondents believing the US would “act responsibly in international affairs.”
The survey also found that Australians have relatively low confidence in US President Donald Trump, with only 21% of respondents trusting him to make the right decisions in global affairs — the lowest level recorded for any US president in the history of the survey. In comparison, 20% of respondents said they trust Chinese President Xi Jinping, meaning the gap between the two has significantly narrowed.
At the same time, Australians’ perceptions of China have improved. 28% of respondents said they trust China, an increase of 8 percentage points compared to last year; 61% said China is more of an economic partner than a security threat, up 11 percentage points year-on-year. This is the first time since 2020 that a clear majority of Australians have viewed China as an economic partner.
A Lowy Institute researcher said Australians broadly disagree with parts of the Trump administration’s foreign and trade policies, including the use of tariffs to pressure other countries, which has contributed to declining trust in the United States. At the same time, improving Australia–China economic relations has also helped lift public perceptions of China.
However, support for the Australia–US alliance remains strong. 73% of respondents said the alliance is very important or fairly important to Australia’s security. Although this is down from 83% last year, it remains at a relatively high level.
In terms of international trust rankings, Japan ranks first with 89%, followed by Germany (83%) and the United Kingdom (81%). New Zealand continues to be the country Australians feel most positively about.
Commentary:
Trump’s aggressive tariff policies, pressure on allies, and increasingly unilateral international stance have led many Australians to question whether the United States remains a reliable global leader. Meanwhile, Australia–China relations have gradually improved in recent years, with trade restrictions being lifted step by step. China has once again become an important pillar of Australia’s economic growth. Against the backdrop of high living costs and uncertain economic prospects, Australians are more inclined to view China through an economic lens rather than purely as a security threat.
However, although Australians’ perceptions of China have improved, support for the Australia–US alliance still exceeds 70%. This shows that Australian society is not choosing a “binary option” between China and the US, but rather seeking a balance between security reliance on the United States and economic dependence on China.
Australians’ attitudes toward international politics are becoming more pragmatic. In the future, whether Washington or Beijing, if they wish to win the support of Australian society, they cannot rely solely on traditional alliances or economic leverage, but must demonstrate a more stable, credible, and responsible international role.